Ectos + other rare items' prices

Sand Man II

Sand Man II

Banned

Join Date: Apr 2007

Any of you know if Anet placed a "price floor" for these items? As I have observed today, the price of Ecto dropped to a scaringly 7.5k each and I'm afraid that my items will be of very little value in the future. Anyone know?

Lilanthe

Lilanthe

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: May 2005

There is no price floor for anything (material wise)

Esprit

Esprit

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jun 2005

Dvd Forums [DVDF]

E/

Another 'Oh-no-my-Ecto-is-not-worth-11k-anymore' thread.

What goes up, usually comes down.

amish lifeguard

amish lifeguard

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jul 2006

It's Not Pediofilia If The Kids [dead]

That's why you don't invest in ecto, take cold hard cash!

I remember when ecto was in the 4-5k range

skarkees

skarkees

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Oct 2006

Netherlands

Lament Of The Phoenix [LotP]

Mo/E

This is just like the real economy in real life. When people talk about influction (dont know if this is the right word im dutch they lower there prices and people will follow them

Look:

Person A sells a crystaline req9 15^50 for 100k + 100 ecto

Person B sells the same sword for 100k + 1 ecto

People begin to think the crystalines (15^50 req9) are worth 100k + 1 ecto. So they sell for this price on forums and trade chat. And more and more people begin to sell.

Then the farming part comes in. Farmers begin to get anoying about the low prices so they stop farming and the ask for items is high but there is less to sell because nobody farm anymore .

Then the prices go up and people go farming again. (it depends on what is new but the will go farming)

Then the prices will go up again because the rich farmers can infualte the market with there money power. And the prices will go back to normal or what they want.

This is just realistic thinkin after 5 beers lol (qeensday over here). I think i wrote it pretty fine

Ciao skarkees

Plz dont blame me on my english

Spazzer

Spazzer

Jungle Guide

Join Date: May 2006

USA

Team Asshat [Hat]

Mo/E

Skarkees, there is one issue I had with that.

I have never seen prices rise for a rare skin.

lucifer_uk

lucifer_uk

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Nov 2006

Nottingham, England

The Venerable Truth [TvT] The Venerable Alliance [TvH] [TvL]

R/

Swings and roundabouts. It'll go back up at some point.

Navaros

Forge Runner

Join Date: Apr 2005

Mo/Me

No, there is no price floor on anything. Sigils used to be worth over 100k when GW first came out.

Amber and Jade used to be worth way more than it is now.

In my view it's the no anti-farming code anymore that is making ecto prices go down.

vdz

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Nov 2006

ye it goes up and down. Only thing that doesnt make sense to me is that 4 rare materials dropped at the same time ; Ecto / Sapphire / Ruby / Shards. And even Diamonds dropped from roughly 5k to 4k.

Productivity

Productivity

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Apr 2007

Mo/

Everyone saying it will just go back up, think it over a bit more. The fundamentals have changed. Two key points.

The amount of money in the market has decreased. Solo-farming generates little money, because the whites/blues have stopped dropping which were the primary money generator. If you want proof of this, go to an online gold seller and look at what the prices are for 1 million gold (this is one of the ways I track the value of money, I don't buy from them), at one large gold seller the price is over six times what it was a month ago. Every gold piece is more valuable, it buys more. This is a deflationary event.

The amount of ectos in the market is increasing, as prior farming restrictions (repeated farm scaling, aoe scatter etc.) have been toned back/removed. This increases the productivity of ecto farmers, allowing more to enter into the market. Again, this is a deflationary event.

The market doesn't move randomly, there is very little trading noise, it is mostly determined by fundamentals. It may go back up, if a spike happens in demand (GW:EN release if it includes extra character slots), however, as far as I can tell every current economic indicator says it should either level off or continue to trend downwards.

Just a few things to think on...

EDIT: What are they at now?

ca_aok

ca_aok

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Sep 2006

Xen of Onslaught

E/Me

Quote:
There is no price floor for anything (material wise)
The price floor is technically 100g... though if it ever drops that low people will buy stacks full of ectos and the price will go up again.

Bryant Again

Bryant Again

Hall Hero

Join Date: Feb 2006

Yeah, the price floor of a Crystalline, req 7, +30 Hp and all perfect stats, is about 300g, ain't it? That's what the merchant says, at least.

So, no there isn't. The community makes up the economy.

Xalkie

Xalkie

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Nov 2005

Simi Valley, CA

N/Me

i seen ectos go lower than this....i believe under 6k 7 or 8 mos ago....then they went back up to over 10k.

Curse You

Curse You

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2006

South Pole

The Magus Order

N/Mo

Quote:
Originally Posted by ca_aok
The price floor is technically 100g... though if it ever drops that low people will buy stacks full of ectos and the price will go up again.
If that happened, it would be better to use Fur as a currency...

ca_aok

ca_aok

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Sep 2006

Xen of Onslaught

E/Me

Yes, that was because of the AOE nerf. They hovered around 7K for MONTHS before nightfall's release... so I wouldn't worry too much.

Navaros

Forge Runner

Join Date: Apr 2005

Mo/Me

I'm not sure if ectos will be going back up this time. When Anet made 3 sigils drop from HoH instead of 1 the price plumetted from 100k to 10k over a period of months, and never went back up.

Removing the anti-farming code seems to be permanently increasing the amount of ecto drops in a very similar way, so in my view it seems logical that a permanent degradation of ecto prices will follow.

wetsparks

wetsparks

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Nov 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by Productivity
The market doesn't move randomly, there is very little trading noise, it is mostly determined by fundamentals. It may go back up, if a spike happens in demand (GW:EN release if it includes extra character slots), however, as far as I can tell every current economic indicator says it should either level off or continue to trend downwards.
Gaile has posted on these forums that there will be no new characters slots with GW:EN because there will be no new classes.

Silly Warrior

Silly Warrior

Hold it!

Join Date: Jul 2006

In your local courthouse.

The Arctic Marauders [TAM] (elite PvE, PM)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Curse You
If that happened, it would be better to use Fur as a currency...
I lol'd.

Well your right, if Ectos got down to 100g, FoW armor would be everywhere, and no longer important or a sign of wealth. I doubt Anet will allow that to happen.

Plus, even in the unlikely scenario that Ectos got totally blow-out-of-the-water cheap, we would trade in like Diamonds, Rubys, or Shards...or something. Odd, but imagine it.

Productivity

Productivity

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Apr 2007

Mo/

Quote:
Originally Posted by wetsparks
Gaile has posted on these forums that there will be no new characters slots with GW:EN because there will be no new classes.
Then there is your answer. The price shock caused by GW:EN will be minimal. I offered someone the other day 8k for his ectos and he laughed at me and siad he's sure they'll go up. We'll see who wins this round...

Alleji

Alleji

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jan 2006

11k is high.

I think 8-8.5 is the average for ectos... sure, they might be slightly low now, but they'll probably go back up.

Jamison0071

Jamison0071

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Feb 2006

Melbourne, Australia

Morporkian Mercenaries

N/Me

I'm guessing GW:EN will include a Elite Armor which uses Diamonds, thus Ectos will crash and Diamonds will be the wonderful price of 20k each for a little while

Carboplatin

Carboplatin

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jul 2005

[PIG]

W/A

i don't think ectos will be going back up this time.

Ectos are easier to get then ever.
Rare skins are easier to get then ever.
who needs to hoard ectos and cash anymore?

eremos

Academy Page

Join Date: Dec 2006

South Africa

W/

It's worth noting that Sup Vigors have gone down quite significantly as well, so something's definitely up. Fits with the theory of deflation.

Brother Andicus

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: May 2005

Scotland

The Illuminati

Anet know that ecto's are used by the majority as a high end currency, they wont let the value drop too low. If they need to adjust drop rates to keep ectos in the 6-10k bracket, they will do.

FoxBat

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2006

Amazon Basin [AB]

Mo/Me

Quote:
Originally Posted by Brother Andicus
Anet know that ecto's are used by the majority as a high end currency, they wont let the value drop too low. If they need to adjust drop rates to keep ectos in the 6-10k bracket, they will do.
The "majority" don't have high end currency. I'm not sure that they care about the rest.

Miss Persephone

Miss Persephone

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Nov 2005

Quote:
Originally Posted by Brother Andicus
Anet know that ecto's are used by the majority as a high end currency, they wont let the value drop too low. If they need to adjust drop rates to keep ectos in the 6-10k bracket, they will do.
I doubt that ectos will fall much below 6k, but if they did I very much doubt ANet would intervene for the sake of the minority super-rich. People will simply find something else to replace ecto as the highest end commodity if the price dramatically falls. I for one, couldn't care less if ecto falls to 1k each. So people with tons of cash already, lose some. Cry me a river.

Lucifer PVP

Lucifer PVP

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Oct 2005

Refuge From Exile [RFE] Refuge-From-Exile.com

W/Mo

Quote:
Originally Posted by amish lifeguard
That's why you don't invest in ecto, take cold hard cash!

I remember when ecto was in the 4-5k range
I remember selling 4 ecto for 2k each during the 1st two weeks of GW

And it looks like once the super rich can't maintain the current ecto price of 7.5-8k ecto are going to drop.

Ectos are the old and busted and elite tombs are the new hotness

Diablo???

Diablo???

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jun 2005

Seattle

SPQR

N/R

ectos are weak, its all about the black dyes!

Carboplatin

Carboplatin

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jul 2005

[PIG]

W/A

Quote:
Originally Posted by Diabloâ„¢
ectos are weak, its all about the black dyes!
black dyes are weak, its all about the white dyes!

tyche7

tyche7

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Jul 2006

Nebraska

The Killer Panda Bears

W/Mo

I think they should go back down to 4k or so. That way I could afford some! LOL

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

Black dye still worth money now a day and the price doesn't drop as fast!