Will prices for the Celestial Pig soar now or go down..

Polgara Val

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Apr 2007

TSR

Mo/Me

As the title suggests..

Pol

- Tain -

- Tain -

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Apr 2006

[SMS]

R/

I doubt they will go down. There is now no way of receiving them, and there are people who missed the event. They won't soar, either - there isn't really that much demand for them... just that they won't bottom out.

shrouded^god

shrouded^god

IGN: J C A C H E

Join Date: Sep 2006

843

[Liar]

I assume they'll stay the same...perhaps drop slightly...

freaky naughty

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Sep 2007

Mo/N

Quote:
Originally Posted by - Tain -
I doubt they will go down. There is now no way of receiving them, and there are people who missed the event. They won't soar, either - there isn't really that much demand for them... just that they won't bottom out.
Same with the mini-pig, but eventually people were practically giving them away.

Linksys

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Apr 2006

Because of what it took to get them, lots of the people who got them probably dedicated them already. If anyone left theirs undedicated to sell, they're gonna be looking for a decent payout. Especially if they had to buy or claimed to have bought regular mini pigs at 30k each to trade for the celestial one. By that figure it would put the celestial pig at about 150k.

gone

Guest

Join Date: Jan 2007

it only matters to the people who cashed in 5 for 1.

I think it will drop, just like other junk.

MithranArkanere

MithranArkanere

Underworld Spelunker

Join Date: Nov 2006

wikipedia.org/wiki/Vigo

Heraldos de la Llama Oscura [HLO]

E/

Thanks to dedication:
- Not dedicated: Rising and rising the less they are left unless they make celestial miniatures drop somewhere else. (And extremely rare drop from the celestial creatures in Nahpui would do) A possible "I have the last one. Who pays more?" must be prevented at all costs.
- Dedicated: Going down and down the more dedicated miniatures there are.

Some people jut dedicate the miniature and then sell it. I keep them all, though.


Miniatures are a bit troublesome. They should have a 'limited life'. Something that destroys them and an unlimited unfarmable source for them. For the Birthday miniatures there is no problem, but for the rest... ah... something likea way to give them to an NPC and get them destroyed, and the you can recreate them like with the hat maker. The system should keep track of the existin miniaturtes, so the undedicated number of them stay fixed.

Arkantos

Arkantos

The Greatest

Join Date: Feb 2006

W/

Well, the supply is going to remain the same, and can only go down (if people delete them). If the demand remains high, the price will eventually raise. If the demand gets lower, the price will eventually drop.

I'm guessing the demand will get lower.

Feathermoore Rep

Feathermoore Rep

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Nov 2006

PM me for JACT Invite

Feathermoore Clan

R/Mo

Normal economies doesn't always apply guildwars, because something randomly will happen no one will predict and then bam the economy explodes.

But mostly likely dedicated will only go down, and undedicated ones will only go up, as its been pointed out because the supply is fixed.

Polgara Val

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Apr 2007

TSR

Mo/Me

Anyone want to hazzard a guess for unded and dedicated piggies will sell for?

Pol

Queenie

Queenie

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jul 2005

I really want one and hope they will come down in price. >_>
Not paying 100k+ x ectos for one. ;_;

genofreek

genofreek

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jan 2007

USA

Jenova's Apocolyptic Remains [JAR]

D/

I'm thinking that in time, a lot of the people who scrambled to pay 100k+ for them will cool on the idea, be in a bind for money for the next big thing, or want to free up storage. It'll be easy as hell to get a dedicated one if you're not picky, and if you hit the right person at the right time, you can probably get a decent deal on an undedicated.

I wouldn't count on undeds going very far below 50k, though.

lakatz

lakatz

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Jun 2006

What about undedicated regular piggies? Any chance they'll have some value? Since the trade off was 5 to 1, I imagine that removed quite a number of them from the population.

genofreek

genofreek

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jan 2007

USA

Jenova's Apocolyptic Remains [JAR]

D/

I doubt it. The ones who wanted pigs already bought them or had them given away free.

Darkobra

Darkobra

Forge Runner

Join Date: Aug 2006

Scotland

Type like an idiot, I'll treat you like an idiot

E/Me

Quote:
Originally Posted by - Tain -
I doubt they will go down. There is now no way of receiving them, and there are people who missed the event. They won't soar, either - there isn't really that much demand for them... just that they won't bottom out.
This sums it up nicely.

undeadgun

undeadgun

Forge Runner

Join Date: Nov 2006

US

Its Rainning Fame Hallelujah[伞回伞], also as guild leader

N/

Quote:
Originally Posted by MithranArkanere
Thanks to dedication:
- Not dedicated: Rising and rising the less they are left unless they make celestial miniatures drop somewhere else. (And extremely rare drop from the celestial creatures in Nahpui would do) A possible "I have the last one. Who pays more?" must be prevented at all costs.
- Dedicated: Going down and down the more dedicated miniatures there are.

Some people jut dedicate the miniature and then sell it. I keep them all, though.


Miniatures are a bit troublesome. They should have a 'limited life'. Something that destroys them and an unlimited unfarmable source for them. For the Birthday miniatures there is no problem, but for the rest... ah... something likea way to give them to an NPC and get them destroyed, and the you can recreate them like with the hat maker. The system should keep track of the existin miniaturtes, so the undedicated number of them stay fixed.
QFT 12 chars

Jetdoc

Jetdoc

Hell's Protector

Join Date: Jul 2005

The Eyes of Texas [BEVO]

D/A

1. Normal minature pig will drop like a lead weight. Why? It's a freaking pig. The major value ascribed to it was the ability to trade it in. Now that its only valuable avenue is gone, so will be its value.

2. Celestial miniature pig will temporarily drop, and then start to steadily climb in value. Why? The newness will wear off, people will realize that it's pretty indistinguishable from a rat, and will start to sell them off. As they become dedicated, more people will start to seek them out, which will cause the price to rise.

Numa Pompilius

Numa Pompilius

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: May 2005

At an Insit.. Intis... a house.

Live Forever Or Die Trying [GLHF]

W/Me

FWIW I've just visited all major towns and tried to trade an undedicated Celestial Rat for an undedicated Minipig. No takers.

Hamfast

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Nov 2007

I don't much care for the Celestial Mini-Pig anyway... it looks just like the Celestial Rat unless you're standing right on top of it looking closely. How are you going to make people envious of your wonderful piggy if they take it for a common rat and don't give it a second glance?

Now if for some reason we're still here in 2012 and get a Celestial DRAGON...

Loli Krasivaya

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Jan 2008

Divine Order of Heroes (DOoH)

N/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Numa Pompilius
FWIW I've just visited all major towns and tried to trade an undedicated Celestial Rat for an undedicated Minipig. No takers.
Undedicated CELESTIAL minipig or reg?

Celestial, that makes sense. Reg, they were effing crazy.

Rothaga

Rothaga

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Mar 2007

D/W

It all depends on how well its liked, will people say "I NEED that minipet!", or will people say, "What a crappy minipet".

genofreek

genofreek

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jan 2007

USA

Jenova's Apocolyptic Remains [JAR]

D/

Well, taking into consideration that it looks like the rat unless you're looking closely and it won't be the hot new thing forever, plus it's still a silly PIG mini... I think the price will lower somewhat. It isn't obvious and awesome like Mallyx, Djinn, or Greased Lightning.

HawkofStorms

HawkofStorms

Hall Hero

Join Date: Aug 2005

E/

Demand will drop and so will the price.
People only want them because they are new. Once the "OMG a shiney new mini" affect wears off, prices will plummet.

Numa Pompilius

Numa Pompilius

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: May 2005

At an Insit.. Intis... a house.

Live Forever Or Die Trying [GLHF]

W/Me

Quote:
Originally Posted by Loli Krasivaya
Undedicated CELESTIAL minipig or reg?

Celestial, that makes sense. Reg, they were effing crazy.
Regular. I don't want the celestial version.

I suspect people are still unsure what the price of minipigs should be, and are unwilling to trade for that reason. Will do another "want to trade: my unded CELESTIAL RAT for your unded normal MINI PIG" run later.

Jongo River

Jongo River

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Oct 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hamfast
Now if for some reason we're still here in 2012 and get a Celestial DRAGON...
Hehe. That formed part of my decision to not bother with Celestials. I looked up the next few years and it's something like Ox, Tiger, Rabbit - the last one would be fine as a normal model, but none would interest me as a Celestial. The only thing that would have gotten my attention was a Dragon, but four years away? Not really worth collecting the others in anticipation of that.

ANet should have saved the Celestial idea for the (presumably) better effects of GW2.

On the thread topic, I imagine the price will head down to 40-50K, once sellers realise that anyone willing to pay higher, already has. I think people will resist selling lower than that, because of he amount they likely had to invest to get one.

Pleikki

Pleikki

WTB q8 15^50 Weapons!

Join Date: Nov 2006

???oo ???ugs ???lan [?????????]

I guess it go down but slowly

papryk

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Feb 2006

Nancy

The Autonomy[?????????]

I guess it will go up but slowly

undedicated: up (less of them)
dedicated: down (more of them)

WinterSnowblind

WinterSnowblind

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Feb 2007

I think it's going to go down, for both the Pig and the Rat. There was little demand for them during the event, besides the players that absoloutely needed to get the "hard to get Celestial Pig". Now that the excitement is gone, I don't see people rushing to try and get one.

The fact neither of them seem to be very popular won't help. I personally quite like both, but the general consensus seems to be that they're ugly.

Rhedd

Rhedd

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: May 2005

You ever have to clean up after a Moa bird?

True Solunastra [SLA] Profession: Moa Wrangler

Quote:
Originally Posted by Numa Pompilius
FWIW I've just visited all major towns and tried to trade an undedicated Celestial Rat for an undedicated Minipig. No takers.
My offer still stands. I sent you a PM, and will look for you online.

retro77

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Jan 2007

California

Destructions Minions

E/

I sold one for a 100k yesterday.

aaje vhanli

aaje vhanli

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Dec 2006

I still have 5 minipigs that I didn't have the chance to exchange for celestial minipigs (due to life outside of GW) so I imagine I'll just hang onto them in hopes of the opportunity to exchange them next year lol

GrimEye

GrimEye

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Oct 2007

Rt/

In mid-term and short-term, the celestial pig will remain stable with some price fluctuation, up and down, but not much.

In the ultimate long terms - that is, when GW2 comes out - the price will plummet.

But maybe there will be GW2 tradings for some GW1 items, if the the benefits of HoM prove to be worthwhile and not crap.

My take.

hqp129

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Mar 2007

NUBZ, RAGE, YARR

D/Mo

I think they will go up..was in a town saw a guy spammin for half a day without any success for a celestial pig..they are getting rarer as the supply dwindles for undedicates, btw i ve seen people buy them for 100k 10e:-)!

Proff

Proff

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jun 2007

seeing as no one really cares about the rat or pig and anyone that did got one during the festival the price will drop as soon as people figure out they don't need another mini.

aTT!kus

aTT!kus

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Mar 2006

U.S.

[FluX]

W/

i think rats ill go down to ~10k and celestial pigs will stay 70-100k

Hyprodimus Prime

Hyprodimus Prime

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jul 2006

Vancouver BC

Sorrow Masters

E/

I wonder if the minipig collector will be there again next year.

Sir Seifus Halbred

Sir Seifus Halbred

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Oct 2006

70-100k? During the event the majority of people were trying to sell for 40k. I think the celestial minis will drop in price, just give it time, like the mini pig.