Zaishen Tournament Predictions: Good or Bad?

Risus

Risus

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2007

56min UW HM post-2/25 I win

FDR

A/

So far I've been seeing people in the week or so after reward points are added selling keys in 100-250 groups. Assuming that they got it from Tournament Predictions, I think 450k is a bit too big a prize for dumb luck. I say reduce the point rewards so that you can't make tons of cash for spending 4 mins on a website just clicking random stuff.

What is your take on this?

masta_yoda

masta_yoda

Banned

Join Date: Feb 2007

most hated players in the [game]

R/Mo

i think most are from ATs

because u dont get much or not as wealthy, doesnt mean u have to qq

bodyboarder

bodyboarder

retired

Join Date: Jun 2006

i think its fine...you still have to predict right to get a lot of points so imo its fine as it is...

lemming

lemming

The Hotshot

Join Date: May 2006

Honolulu

International District [id???]

People actually pvp, you know.

distilledwill

distilledwill

Forge Runner

Join Date: Sep 2006

Blighty

The Legion of the Blue Blade

R/Mo

Unless they have several accounts I doubt people would be getting 250 keys from Zpoints, its likely people will be getting them from actually participating in ATs etc.

Arduin

Arduin

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: May 2005

The Netherlands

Limburgse Jagers [LJ]

R/

I get roughly ~100 points each month, so thats ~100k if I decide to sell them 20 keys. And yes, those are from a pint of dumb luck and a spoon of my own observations during GvG's.

I don't think people are able to get 200 keys just by predictions. At least not by dumb luck. They would need a lot of accounts that way, all racking in about 20-25 keys each.

However, if they are spot on with their predictions and do get 100+ keys on 1 account, well, that isn't dumb luck anymore isn't it?

RotteN

RotteN

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jun 2005

W/

get your facts straight.

The absolute maximum you can get from predictions is 250 reward points, equalling 50 keys or 250k.

However, the chances of getting that much are close to none since to requires you to guess all 8 spots correctly.

Usually it averages out at around 100k as Arduinna pointed out. That's just fine imo, taking it's only once a month and you can get the exact same points by doing 2 ATs (or AFKing 7).

Div

Div

I like yumy food!

Join Date: Jan 2006

Where I can eat yumy food

Dead Alley [dR]

Mo/R

I like free money. Who doesn't? It's better than wasting time farming ectos with SF, and easier too.

upier

upier

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: Mar 2006

Done.

[JUNK]

Oki I officially need to start caring about this crap.
100k-ish per month would finance my AFK-addiction quite nicely!

MisterB

MisterB

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Oct 2005

Planet Earth, Sol system, Milky Way galaxy

[ban]

W/

I've never heard of a Zaishen Tournament, but I like the Xunlai Tournament House.

Avarre

Avarre

Bubblegum Patrol

Join Date: Dec 2005

Singapore Armed Forces

Quote:
Originally Posted by Risus
I think 450k is a bit too big a prize for dumb luck.
What?

You do know every item drop in the history of item drops that was sold to another player is a product of dumb luck? How is this any different?

If anything, it's more intelligent and interesting, as well as promoting interest in following PvP.

garethporlest18

garethporlest18

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jan 2006

[HiDe]

W/

Very good, no better way to get Zkeys for noobs like myself who only RA.

kratimas

kratimas

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Dec 2005

Order of the Setting Sun

R/

I think they are Good just the way they are.

I pwnd U

I pwnd U

God of Spammers

Join Date: Oct 2005

in the middle of a burning cornfield...

Scars Meadows [SMS] (Officer)

I think it is fine. They probably got them from PvP'ing, I highly HIGHLY doubt they got them just from predictions unless they had multiple accounts.

miskav

miskav

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jun 2005

None

Mo/

Then again, the OP might not be able to predict the outcome and thus thinks it's discriminating against him, and thus it's in need of removal or a nerf :O!!

Q_Q moar.

jimme

jimme

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Jan 2007

Netherlands

Mo/

I likez it the way it is
I'm not really an active player anymore and I really hate farming / doing anything else that requires me to actually do stuff in the game to get money.

And this way I get about ~80k a month by the predictions, which is good for buying some stuff =]

RedStar

RedStar

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Jul 2007

_____________________ (\__/) (\__/) (\__/)Help (='.'=)(='.'=)(='.'=)Bunny (")_(")(")_(")(")_(")

[Bomb]

E/

It's fine.

I think that what you are seeing is the result of this :

Quote:
Originally Posted by GuildWarsWiki
Increased the number of tournament reward points awarded for Monthly Automated Tournaments to 4,500 for GvG, and 1,500 for 1v1
http://wiki.guildwars.com/wiki/Reward_points.

Jongo River

Jongo River

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Oct 2006

Not another engining nerf request! FFS, why are members of this community so hung up on what they *think* other players are getting?

There's not even a bloody trader for Z-keys - so it's not new money coming into the gaming, it's just money moved between players. And some of us actually just use those keys! If we don't find it easy to get 5-10 Crème Brûlées a month, it's not worth the effort of going to the site.

T. Drake

T. Drake

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Dec 2006

R/Me

It is our own fault that we pay ~5K for a key.

Convince the community that they should be worth 1K or something and we don't need a reduction in reward points.

... lol, let's see if thats gonna happen.

Ate of DK

Ate of DK

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Oct 2005

Netherlands

None but Fools [nuts]

Dumb luck?

If you knew more about PvP then you can easily get more than half of each mAT right. The only thing that bothers me is that Anet messes up the points you actualy get.

Solas

Solas

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Oct 2006

Ireland

Currently LF Active HA Guild, Glad 2, Comm.3, R2

E/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Risus
So far I've been seeing people in the week or so after reward points are added selling keys in 100-250 groups. Assuming that they got it from Tournament Predictions, I think 450k is a bit too big a prize for dumb luck. I say reduce the point rewards so that you can't make tons of cash for spending 4 mins on a website just clicking random stuff.
even if somone got around 450k form this (which very rarly happens i assume)
thats maybe an extra 15k a day whiel the more average is more like 100-200, 3-6k a day and thats if they sell the keys alot of people use them and jsut get creme and firewater so there possibly 100k investment is not work around 5k

[Morkai]

[Morkai]

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Oct 2007

Heroes of Elonia [HE]

W/Rt

Wow.

What is it with people whining about Anet actually giving us something nice every once in a while. Jeez, it gets to the point where it's not even funny anymore.

They are fine as they are.

DarkNecrid

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jul 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by tehlemming
People actually pvp, you know.
No one cares about your shit mode of play okay. PvPers need to go learn to actually play the game and maybe the world of Tyria wouldn't be so crap. You know the merchants in Cavalon actually want me to pay 100k+50e for a Requirement 10 Elemental Sword? The nerve. Instead you guys are out there killing yourselves instead of fixing this horrible crime.

Ridiculous.




MagicWarrior

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Jan 2007

I think it's fine the way it is. In fact, I wish I could get more of the darn keys to feed the addiction (ahem, I mean: fun) of opening that chest.

romeus petrus

romeus petrus

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jun 2006

Urgoz Warren

Legion of Doom [LOD] Home of PWNZILLA http://PWNZILLA.guildlaunch.com

It is mostly luck and some minor amount of observation, but ya it is an easy way of making money.

Neo Nugget

Neo Nugget

Site Contributor

Join Date: Jan 2006

R/

People might have multiple accounts, and registered them.

I say it's fine, it helps me with my zaishen rank

(except this month i did really crappy, because i voted too early -.-)

FoxBat

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2006

Amazon Basin [AB]

Mo/Me

Anet giving you a free 5k a month might be considered "bad". However, they aren't. Keys have little intrinsic value, other players are the ones willing to dish out 5k for them. 5k flowing from the richest players to every joe shmoe that can put up some predictions seems fine to me.

keli

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Sep 2006

Budapest

E/

ppl are complaining for free money now WHAT COMES NEXT? :S :S :S

HawkofStorms

HawkofStorms

Hall Hero

Join Date: Aug 2005

E/

Quote:
Originally Posted by T. Drake
It is our own fault that we pay ~5K for a key.

Convince the community that they should be worth 1K or something and we don't need a reduction in reward points.

... lol, let's see if thats gonna happen.
QFT

Blame the community who buys ebayed gold and then buys titles.

Really, the best way to lower z-key price is to get more people to use the Xunlai House, since that would lead to a larger supply of z-keys.


Edit: And yes, people can complain about free money, because after all, it does have economic implications. However, since the z-chest doesn't create a lot of gold (just that of items sold to merchants), just transfers it from people to people, it doesn't cause that much inflation.

Ate of DK

Ate of DK

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Oct 2005

Netherlands

None but Fools [nuts]

Quote:
Originally Posted by HawkofStorms
QFT

Blame the community who buys ebayed gold and then buys titles.

Really, the best way to lower z-key price is to get more people to use the Xunlai House, since that would lead to a larger supply of z-keys.
But even larger numbers are required to max the title. And when prices fall, people start buying even more which makes the prices go up again. I guess they will remain around 5K for some time.

Divine Xan

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Feb 2007

lfg atm... >.>

Quote:
Originally Posted by Risus
I think 450k is a bit too big a prize for dumb luck
lol, some people 'predict' through luck, others think about it and try to PREDICT for their predictions not guess (and often get more points from this), how would this involve less skill then the SF-farm that untill recently anyone could do for easy ectos?

Gli

Forge Runner

Join Date: Nov 2005

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ate of DK
Dumb luck?

If you knew more about PvP then you can easily get more than half of each mAT right. The only thing that bothers me is that Anet messes up the points you actualy get.
/quoted for red engined truth. I've been shortchanged 3 months in a row now.

Snow Bunny

Snow Bunny

Alcoholic From Yale

Join Date: Jul 2007

Strong Foreign Policy [sFp]

It's free money. It's RED ENGINE GORED ENGINE GORED ENGINE GORED ENGINE GOing awesome.

Dallcingi

Dallcingi

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Nov 2006

USA

The Black Parades [死人死]

Mo/

Zkeys are good
dont like it just sell them
easy money, easy title since all u gotta do is open a chest.
people who dont pvp can still get the goods and the ones who pvp get even more.
The only thing that you can do to exploit it is with multiple accounts but all the power to them since someone had to pay for it anyways right? anet doesnt care

Jensy

Jensy

Site Contributor

Join Date: Apr 2007

Phoenix, Arizona

Blinkie Ponie Armie [bpa]

N/Mo

My guess is that the OP is crap at predicting and never gets any points. So, clearly, it needs to be nerfed for the rest of us who pay attention

/no

It gets PvE players interested in what's going on in PvP. At least in my alliance, we look forward to the tournaments and watch them on obs. Then we get rewarded for it.

You're seriously complaining about free money? Really?

Pure Disasta

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Dec 2006

So how can i get into this zaishen tournament prediction stuff? Is there anyone who offers like free predictions I can go with if I'm lost myself.

Any help would be appreciated.

RavagerOfDreams

RavagerOfDreams

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Dec 2007

somewhere over the rainbow....

A/

Quote:
Originally Posted by holymasamune
I like free money. Who doesn't? It's better than wasting time farming ectos with SF, and easier too.
what he said ^

Kanyatta

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jun 2006

Guildless, pm me

R/Mo

Quote:
Originally Posted by T. Drake
It is our own fault that we pay ~5K for a key.

Convince the community that they should be worth 1K or something and we don't need a reduction in reward points.

... lol, let's see if thats gonna happen.
With the volume of high-end skins that come out of that chest, I would say 5k is definitely a reasonable price for both buyer and seller, if not, it is kind of low. Seriously, Voltaics, Emerald Blades, Everlasting X Tonics, etc. There's a big upside to purchasing keys other than an emote.

Kanyatta

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jun 2006

Guildless, pm me

R/Mo

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ate of DK
Dumb luck?

If you knew more about PvP then you can easily get more than half of each mAT right. The only thing that bothers me is that Anet messes up the points you actualy get.
What this guy said. Don't base your predictions off "Oh, highest number of QP's is obviously going to win" or "#1 on the ladder is obviously going to win". Just know who has the best GvG team and you'll do way better on the predictions. I got 5 out of 8 right on the head for GvG, and 2 were 2 places off, and 1 I got 0 points for, and in HB, I didn't get a single one close. I pay attention to GvG, and I don't give a rip about HB, and it shows in my Xunlai House rewards.

About the second part of the quoted post, I got screwed out of my RP's in May. I was supposed to get about 80 from what I figured, and I just never received any, I was pretty bummed. That's the only time that's happened to me so far though, so I'm guessing there are many people who've had it worse off than me.

Dante the Warlord

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jul 2006

W/R

Yea i just recently got into predictions. I suck, but i got 30 points on my first try. Im pretty busy with life, and TBH i really don't want to merchant anymore, so this is a great way for me to make moeny by simply looking arounf the GW community and either sell or try my luck with the chests.

Oh, if anyone wants to give me pointers, that might be good, i tried out vote for the asians/euros second, but then i realized that some american/euro guilds use asian characters... /sigh