2008 Mini Polar Bear : Myth or Reality?

Killerminds

Killerminds

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Feb 2007

For 5...21 seconds I CAN take damage

Union Of Light Form Users

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by therangereminem View Post
then how do 30+pople got one already
Because theirs more then 100 000 players running the quest...

Wish Swiftdeath

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Feb 2007

Mo/W

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lady Ana Stacia View Post
ty Both, and I will be keeping it
Well i'm glad that at least the person who wanted to keep it got it.

Most people (including me) would've sold it hahah.

A11Eur0

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2005

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by therangereminem View Post
so there like 10 pope sellign them atm all for 1750 ecto for a ded one

i dont think you pople really know this but there not as rare as you thought

most do abotu 10 hours to get one, 8 min each run do 100 runs and get one if your unlucky you might have to do 300runs

10 popes playing GW? What has this world come to?

therangereminem

therangereminem

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jan 2007

R/Mo

Quote:
Originally Posted by Reflect View Post
like 50 000 ppl at least going for it, making average of 50 runs
so
2 500 000 runs, 30 bears
closely to 1:100 000

THER ISNT 500K POPLE FARMING IT

out of allthe dist that have the wardon in it

74 average all day that measn only 7400 pople famring it
at one time

i dont think 500k pople even play guildwars that care for the mini or to farm it
there alt of pople that dont even have pve toons allthey have is pvp

so 7400*12 runs a hour is 88800 times the chest is being opened and about 4 poepe get them a hour so odds are 1 out of 22000


and that if eveeryo nesfarming the run whichi dont think there is odds stated by anet where 1/1000 or .0001 chance

Pariah

Pariah

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: May 2005

Lords of Cabal

N/

Quote:
1/1000 or .0001

You should learn to spell and do math before you continue to show how unintelligent you are.

.0001 is 1 in 10,000 - not 1,000

So in defending your flawed math, you used flawed math - LOL

therangereminem

therangereminem

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jan 2007

R/Mo

i can spell just not type i don t check what i post , and hate checking for errors

Dreikki

Dreikki

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2006

Kemi, Finland.

Pirates of the Searing [YoHo]

Mo/

Quote:
Originally Posted by therangereminem View Post
i can spell just not type i don t check what i post , and hate checking for errors
Quote:
Originally Posted by therangereminem View Post
POPLE
spy sappin' my sentry!

Callista Aurelia

Callista Aurelia

Academy Page

Join Date: Feb 2006

Bay Area, CA

Kitchen Pirates [CKIE]

E/

Also, 500k is 500,000 not 50,000.

Tyla

Emo Goth Italics

Join Date: Sep 2006

I hate to harm this discussion, but I believe that The Ranger Eminem's incredibly poor literacy hurts this discussion more than anybody can hope to commit. If you can't be bothered checking your spelling, use a spellchecker program so it can check it for you.

EroChrono

EroChrono

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Aug 2006

Netherlands

[WitB]

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by therangereminem View Post
i can spell just not type i don t check what i post , and hate checking for errors
Seriously you should either learn how to type, or just check for errors. With all respect, your current way of typing makes you look like a complete idiot.
Quote:
Originally Posted by therangereminem View Post
POPLE *snip* pople *snip* pople *snip* poepe
Quote:
Originally Posted by therangereminem View Post
pope *snip* pople
That's taken from 2 posts, you've tried to spell people 6 times, and failed horribly each time! You didn't even make it a 6 character word on any of those tries.

As far as people farming the quest;
I guess at any given time the number is in the thousands, at peak hours tens of thousands. The total number of -accounts- that actually farm (like 10~20 times a day or more) the quest per day might be a 6 digit number, although I do doubt that, but plenty of people don't feel like wasting their time on it.

KycooGhost

KycooGhost

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: May 2007

Children of Legends [LGND]

E/

On topic again... >_< They do drop, but for any one to believe it you'll have to post a screenie with /age and it dropping from the chest, Since you could just post a pic of you getting it from last year and all... good faith rule imposed?

Alleji

Alleji

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jan 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by Killerminds View Post
Because theirs more then 100 000 players running the quest...
There's only 96 000 players left on GW and 80 of them are playing HA, so that's impossible.

See, I can pull numbers out of my ass too.

Althos the trader

Althos the trader

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Jun 2008

If 50% of the people is doing the quest when the other 50% is taking it, there would be 50.000 people in LA at the same time.
If one district can contain 1000people, you need 50 districts.
So I think there is less than 10.000people farming the quest.

therangereminem

therangereminem

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jan 2007

R/Mo

dist cant hold more then 100poeple

Finn Ferral

Finn Ferral

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Jan 2007

New Zealand

The Right Tub [BATH]

R/

Quote:
Originally Posted by therangereminem View Post
100poeple
Arrrrgggghhhhhhhhhhhh! /facepalm

Are you doing this on purpose now or is this really the hardest word ever to spell that currently resides in your vocabulary.....

A11Eur0

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2005

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Finn Ferral View Post
Arrrrgggghhhhhhhhhhhh! /facepalm

Are you doing this on purpose now or is this really the hardest word ever to spell that currently resides in your vocabulary.....

Do you honestly need that question answered? Better yet, do you honestly WANT him to answer it?

isildorbiafra

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Aug 2007

The Netherlands

W/

I just got back from a run today and was making my way back to the rift warden then i saw it....a bastard necro casually sitting next to his MINIATURE POLAR BEAR. What really hurt is that he was displaying only the first tier of gwamm. I've been playing this game for ages and never got a single good drop....along comes a noob and what do you know.

RED ENGINE GORED ENGINE GORED ENGINE GORED ENGINE GO it....i'm running Jade Quary all week long.

Nightow

Nightow

Forge Runner

Join Date: Feb 2006

Kindred Order of Souls [KOS]

In b4 more popes!


Srsly gais.

Anywho! If you haven't heard it enough already, the MBP's do drop from the chest in both quests. If you really have a bunch of free time, you might as well just go and give it a shot. Couldn't hurt...

Cheevy

Cheevy

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Mar 2006

Tyria

Ocravia Deathblade /// Light Music Club [K-On]

E/

~110 runs, no luck, maybe in few hours...the only good thing is +150k =[

Khazad Guard

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jul 2007

Australia

No Loitering In The Guild [Hall]

E/

I quite like continuing with the false hope that when you click that chest you will see those beautiful gold letters pop out!

For those of you who are really lazy, Cupcakes make life so much easier. Enter the quest, scoff a Cupcake and run to the end. You wont need to fight any Grentch unless it uses Icicles. Get to the end in ~1min and afk for 9mins.

Aussie Boy

Aussie Boy

Alcoholic

Join Date: Mar 2007

Australia

W/

Coming up to 80 runs so far and no bear just lots of other goodies and shards lol
it's funny when i go to open the chest i have a finger on print screen ready
and heart racing and the thrill of maybe this time LMAO
But why only 15 seconds to grab stuff what if you hit lag right at the time you do get the bear to drop
omg id scream.
Also remember its not just LA you can get the quest and also the diff dist euro America inter etc.
I use the LA Rift Warden Euro and "most times" there are a lot running to him whether taking that quest i dunno.

Khazad Guard

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jul 2007

Australia

No Loitering In The Guild [Hall]

E/

Quote:
But why only 15 seconds to grab stuff what if you hit lag right at the time you do get the bear to drop
omg id scream.
The chest drops are assigned to you so you can collect them when you are returned to town through that Uncollected Drops (?) window.

BabyJ

BabyJ

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Jul 2006

Illinois

SFG

Mo/

I've been running this stupid quest since 8am and it is now midnight and not one single bear. ARGGGG!
And yes I have no life to sit at my comp all day and farm for this impossible MPB. And I'll probably sit here the whole event and not get one. Thats the way my luck is.

lethalshot

Academy Page

Join Date: Dec 2006

Someone is selling a mini polar bear in the High End Section.
Reality, hmm yeah, it could be the polar bear of last year..

Reflect

Reflect

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: May 2007

Varna,Bulgaria

Glob Of Ectospasm [GoE]

W/

quite sure one of this years..~60 dropped already...

The Rift

The Rift

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Sep 2005

Netherlands

N/

60 dropped already? were do you get that number from?

Lady Ana Stacia

Lady Ana Stacia

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2006

Germany

Beware of our Temper [BooT]

Me/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Arcanus View Post
60 dropped already? were do you get that number from?
yeah curious where the number is coming from as well. Positive it will be more then dropped last yr tho

X Shadow Reaper

Academy Page

Join Date: Aug 2008

wow 60 lucky ppl have gotten a polar bear, nice!

namhvo

namhvo

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Mar 2006

Norway

[ToA]

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Reflect View Post
quite sure one of this years..~60 dropped already...
Did you pull that number out of your arse? Please prove me wrong.

Reflect

Reflect

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: May 2007

Varna,Bulgaria

Glob Of Ectospasm [GoE]

W/

i was looking at the many wts in kamadan/la/guru, guessed some ppl also won't sell them.. tho many of those wts may've bee fakes, god knows..
Whatever , it's just my opinion

Lady Ana Stacia

Lady Ana Stacia

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2006

Germany

Beware of our Temper [BooT]

Me/

Well I know the one dedicated on Guru High End that was supposedly sold in game was a lie. So I am betting its not the only one.

mage767

mage767

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Oct 2006

USA

LOVE

Me/E

You are likely to see some fake auctions and fake bids in the High-end section to confuse lucky polar bear owners into believing that the value of their pet is dropping. In fact, it is not. Again, one of the ploys by rich and 'smart' power-traders to cash in during the event.

If you have a polar bear, keep it, and wait for the event to end.

Yang Whirlwind

Yang Whirlwind

~ Retired ~

Join Date: Nov 2005

Copenhagen, Denmark (GMT +1)

E/

Confirmed drop a few hours ago - Alastor from [SCAR]
(He showed it in the GH to everyone interested)
Dedicated straight away and now for sale in High-end

lilDeath

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Sep 2006

Treehouse #1

W/

Ye, no guesses on the number of drops will be appreciated...
I would really only believe the number of drops that ANET provides or the people that get them provide the proof via ss, etc. because otherwise, mentioning a guestimate of the drop number is just... silly.

Lady Ana Stacia

Lady Ana Stacia

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2006

Germany

Beware of our Temper [BooT]

Me/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Yang Whirlwind View Post
Confirmed drop a few hours ago - Alastor from [SCAR]
(He showed it in the GH to everyone interested)
Dedicated straight away and now for sale in High-end
Yup saw him in Kamadan and was talking to him

fgarvin

fgarvin

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Sep 2005

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyla View Post
If you can't be bothered checking your spelling, use a spellchecker program so it can check it for you.
RTSFirebat once had/has a free online checker in his sig. Also, Google has one built into their toolbar.

Commander Ryker

Site Contributor

Join Date: Jun 2005

R/

Quote:
Originally Posted by l Rainy l View Post
It is dropping. I can also guarantee you you will not get it. Waste of time to farm it. Just get a jingle bear and pretend its your mini pet.
You cannot guarantee that. The best you can do is say he probably won't get one.

-Makai-

-Makai-

Jungle Guide

Join Date: May 2007

WA

DH

Rt/

Quote:
Originally Posted by ElinoraNeSangre View Post
I feel that the people that give Christmas in general a bad name are people that obsess over the wrong things.

I look at all the time spent farming for a bear, and I'm planning on using that time to help stuck friends get out of the snow, get them to the grocery store so they have what they need, take in people without electricity, or go shopping to get friends/family presents and then go spend time with them so I can give them to them. To me, *that* is what Christmas is. It's not up to me to dictate what it is for others, though, just like I don't expect people to spend their Christmas like I do.

I watched people make posts about how they wasted days farming for this last year for nothing and how awful it was that they didn't get one and how much it ruined their holiday and how mad they were that the drop rate was so low, ect. If that's the case? Turn off the computer and go outside. Sheesh. People who take it that seriously and that are bitter and angry or jealous when someone else gets something they didn't? Sorry but the most fitting drop there might just be a lump of coal, in the Christmas spirit.

People farming with a smile on their face, not neglecting their family time to do it, who approach it with a good attitude, who just say "congrats! Now I gotta go get one!" and leave it at that, or the people who are just plain nice people and aren't turning this into a big mess, those people in my estimation deserve something. Karma and all that.

I'm glad to hear someone get one without having to farm for days - good for you, Lady Ana! :: hugs :: And good luck to Miss Temptress! :: more hugs ::
This gets my award for most sensible Guru post of '08.

As for the bear, I'll finish the quests for the sake of completion, but I'm not going to obsess over it. If I wanted to waste my time hunting for virtual accessories, I'd join my 12 yr. old cousin in Zwinky-land.

romeus petrus

romeus petrus

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jun 2006

Urgoz Warren

Legion of Doom [LOD] Home of PWNZILLA http://PWNZILLA.guildlaunch.com

I know of at least one confirmed drop. The drop rate still seems extremely low. There is also talk of bots farming it over and over, this last part I can't confirm.

Slabby

Slabby

Forge Runner

Join Date: Feb 2006

Belgium

[SCAR]

Quote:
Originally Posted by Yang Whirlwind View Post
Confirmed drop a few hours ago - Alastor from [SCAR]
(He showed it in the GH to everyone interested)
Dedicated straight away and now for sale in High-end

Ow my gawd, I know that kid. Bloody lucky bastard, now he will brag about his stacks all day long