Kuunavang Price History

nuclear_herring

nuclear_herring

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2007

New Zealand

Impus Jaenellus (Imp)

R/Mo

Ok, first of all if this thread should be somewhere else, can a Mod please move it for me? I wasn't sure exctly where to put it an price check seemed to be a good idea.

I started this little bit of research last week after I noticed that prices of undedicated kuunavang Minipets had started going through the roof since I last looked. There seem to be plenty of people selling them, but prices are going up and up with gathering speed.

As a result I looked through the minipet pricing guide and wrote down all the prices for which mini kuunas had been sold since October 2006. I then averaged out the monthly cost and charted them using excel. I was hoping to get an idea of where prices are going, but the curve is changing so rapidly its difficult to tell.



All the prices I've quoted are cash totals rather than 100+e to try and accomodate the fluctuating ecto price over the last 2 1/2 years so if I've got the totals slightly wrong, my apologies.

I've highlighted the two dates that have affected minipet prices in general. First, the patch that allowed you to display your prized mnipets in outposts rather than just out in the wilds and second, the ability to dedicate minipets at the hall of Monuments. Without these two events, I think minipet prices would have stagnated long ago, though the common pets have reached saturation now.

I hope people find this data useful (or interesting) and please comment on it either positively or negatively.

Cheers,

Nuclear_herring

I Jonas I

I Jonas I

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jul 2008

Interesting research data. Looks like simple exponential growth, to me. Just hold on to them if you have them, the price can only keep going up ^^

Pleikki

Pleikki

WTB q8 15^50 Weapons!

Join Date: Nov 2006

???oo ???ugs ???lan [?????????]

Yeh so it misses one key part, date when factions CE were removed from stores, then it did skyrocket

MercenaryKnight

MercenaryKnight

Forge Runner

Join Date: May 2006

Wolf of Shadows [WoS]

P/

I used to powertrade it and can pretty much verify prices. Whenever people sell they just have to use 1 simple line. People are dedicating them and the more that do, the less undedicated in existence. More and more people are gonna pay higher prices for them as more time goes by.

Luminarus

Luminarus

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Aug 2007

Sydney, Australia

Haze of Light [pure]

R/

In other words if u want one, get it now.

stogez

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Mar 2006

USA

ToA...guild formerly known as Koss and TAM

N/

Actually prices are going up because people are hoarding them, not because more are being decicated. It has gone from about 55-60e to 100e in one month. It is the same with all other rare pets. Prices have doubled/tripled or more in past couple months.

Fallen SeraphiM

Fallen SeraphiM

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: Dec 2006

Hell

None

ye.....lets not forget lame prices on oni,naga,yeti(in last 2 months price is 8x,8x,8x than its used to be),and ig(few months ago u could get unded for 4,5k ectos,now ppl are buying ded at that price) so somehow,i can understand why is price on undeds going high,but giving 3k ectos on ded vizu or something like that is just pointless

stogez

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Mar 2006

USA

ToA...guild formerly known as Koss and TAM

N/

Reason is that people just need a money sink. There are too many ecto and ABs flowing into the game. As more and more people can afford to pay the ridiculous prices, the prices keep going up.

nuclear_herring

nuclear_herring

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2007

New Zealand

Impus Jaenellus (Imp)

R/Mo

Thx for the feedback.

I think that more and more people are finding ways to farm ectos/zkeys/v spears etc etc so wealth is circulating at a greater rate. With the monthly xunlai tournament cash is injected into the economy - fuelling inflation even further.

Having said that, factions CE is still available online in the UK, though I'm not prepared to spend 18 quid just to get a minipet - that strikes me just as gold purchasing by another name.

I will update the chart on a semi-regular basis if people are interested. Plz let me know.

PS I'm only really interested in Kunnavang prices cos I happen to have one tucked away in storage and I wonder if there is any theoretical ceiling or whether prices will increase until they disappear from view completely.

Yawgmoth

Yawgmoth

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2005

What's a better investment than items which can only go up in price? Kuunas certainly won't get released again no matter what.

But wait, it may be a trap When everyone will think the price may only go up, it may go up too far. The price may get artifically overinflated at some point and hoarders with multiples of them may realise they won't be able to sell them for as much as they want. And the bubble bursts.

Lourens

Lourens

Forge Runner

Join Date: Mar 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by Yawgmoth View Post
What's a better investment than items which can only go up in price? Kuunas certainly won't get released again no matter what.

But wait, it may be a trap When everyone will think the price may only go up, it may go up too far. The price may get artifically overinflated at some point and hoarders with multiples of them may realise they won't be able to sell them for as much as they want. And the bubble bursts.
Im certain some stores will still have the collectors edition

Fallen SeraphiM

Fallen SeraphiM

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: Dec 2006

Hell

None

Anyway,the point- if u rly want some pet u would get it long time ago,now exept for reselling i highly doubt that most of the buyers rly want to keep them

Horace Slughorn

Horace Slughorn

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Oct 2008

Experientia Docet [OHX], Trinity of the Ascended [ToA], We Gat Dis [HRUU]

W/

As early as a month ago kuuna's were common as dirt and the price reflected that. Not sure why they have all of the sudden increased so drastically. I thought I would have plenty of time to get one for my Hall, but I'm thinking I should buy asap if I'm going to as I doubt the price will fall.

I notice grawl prices have also increased, so look out for those as well :P

Yawgmoth

Yawgmoth

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2005

Prices of almost all 'limited' minis skyrocketted in last 2 months. It may be connected to the XTH making many people suddenly rich, those who would normally never buy a 100k+ mini became interested in getting some. I've sold a couple 'limited' minis last week for stupid amounts of zkeys (like 3x their worth) and buyers only wanted to pay in Zkeys.

Mordiego

Mordiego

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Sep 2007

Pozna??, UTC+1

We Are From Poland [Pol]

N/A

Quote:
Originally Posted by stogez View Post
Reason is that people just need a money sink. There are too many ecto and ABs flowing into the game. As more and more people can afford to pay the ridiculous prices, the prices keep going up.
That's pretty much the explanation. Due to recent growth in UWSC popularity and lack of new game content + XTH constant money flow the economy is at worse since Guild Wars was first introduced. Sadly if aNet won't give us another Chaos Gloves like money sink- it's going to be even worse IMHO.

Lourens

Lourens

Forge Runner

Join Date: Mar 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mordiego View Post
That's pretty much the explanation. Due to recent growth in UWSC popularity and lack of new game content + XTH constant money flow the economy is at worse since Guild Wars was first introduced. Sadly if aNet won't give us another Chaos Gloves like money sink- it's going to be even worse IMHO.
Economy of GW is like the opposite of whats happining with the real economy its just because its so easy to get money platina will loose its value ..

Will Holden

Will Holden

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Aug 2007

England

Mo/W

Another point that could be took into consideration.

Asura, Destroyer, Ceratadon and Grey Giant all seem to be increasing in price steadiliy aswell

isildorbiafra

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Aug 2007

The Netherlands

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by MercenaryKnight View Post
I used to powertrade it and can pretty much verify prices. Whenever people sell they just have to use 1 simple line. People are dedicating them and the more that do, the less undedicated in existence. More and more people are gonna pay higher prices for them as more time goes by.
The common demand and suply thing. Besides this, rare things to spend money on are running thin; there still is a mega amount of liquid gold; ecto and zkeys on the market. As gw comes closer to conclusion all rare item prices will go up; cause gold; ecto and zkeys will be worthless at the end of the run.

Makes me laugh. Powertraders spend years acumulating wealth; only to endup paying outragious prices now for items they once sold cheep. (back then at a profit.) Net gain=0,0%. Hell most might even endup loosing in the long run.

My advice to the hardcore traders is this:
full HoM and GWAMM title will be rewarded in gw2 (if we can take anet on its word)
Stockpile on moneysink title items like sweets; alcohol and party items.
Once gw2 comes out (depending on how good the rewards are) these items will be worth their weight in gold cause many will still want to max these titles in gw1 so they can reap the rewards in gw2. When the time is right sell those items for gw2 gold. This should provide a solid capital base to powertrade and keep on gaining wealth in gw2.

nuclear_herring

nuclear_herring

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2007

New Zealand

Impus Jaenellus (Imp)

R/Mo

I think its interesting that dedicated kuunas haven't altered in price much. I always thought that dedicated pets went for about 40-50% of undedicated price.
Obviously that old idea isn't true with the rarer pets with dedicated kuunavangs selling for 100k or less still.

Still interested in comments people have to make on this subject. Thx.

coil

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Aug 2007

will something like this happen to varesh eventually?

Pleikki

Pleikki

WTB q8 15^50 Weapons!

Join Date: Nov 2006

???oo ???ugs ???lan [?????????]

Quote:
Originally Posted by coil View Post
will something like this happen to varesh eventually?
IF nf collectors editions will be removed from stores, and it would take over year then too, and theres more vareshs around then kuunas so doubt

Rice

Rice

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

WTB Any Req Bladed,Echovald,Ornate,Outcast Shield,Gothic Defender,Str Req Diamond Aegis, +HP/+10 VS

[TAM]/[ToA]

N/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pleikki View Post
IF nf collectors editions will be removed from stores, and it would take over year then too, and theres more vareshs around then kuunas so doubt
The price of vareshes is very hard to predict. After all gw is a dying game, after a year or so, not many players will be left. It's either going to have a very high price because noone has them, or very cheap because there is noone left to buy them.

Gun Pierson

Gun Pierson

Forge Runner

Join Date: Feb 2006

Belgium

PIMP

Mo/

Tx for the data and research, I like this kind of stuff.

Lourens

Lourens

Forge Runner

Join Date: Mar 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by coil View Post
will something like this happen to varesh eventually?
No because varesh is lame kuunavang rocks

furanshisuko

furanshisuko

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Oct 2007

R/

i know there's 1 mini kunna unded less in the game...

/deleted a char along whit it

take_me

take_me

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Mar 2006

Europe

Country Roads [HOME]

It seems like the prices are going down again slightly or at least it doesn't seem to rise further....

nuclear_herring

nuclear_herring

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2007

New Zealand

Impus Jaenellus (Imp)

R/Mo

Quote:
Originally Posted by take_me View Post
It seems like the prices are going down again slightly or at least it doesn't seem to rise further....
Is this for kuunavang or varesh? Because for kuunas there seems to be a bit of a lag in prices sometimes. I think it might be due to xunlai tournament prizes being awarded early in the month so everyone is spend,spend,spending and then later in the month the cash flow has slightly dried up. So prices settle for a couple of weeks before starting up again.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Flounder911 View Post
Just as a heads up, your starting bid price of 100e is way out...

average for mini Kunn right now is at 100k + / - 40e
This is one of the high end posts at the moment. I LOLed when I saw it because a lot of kunnavangs are now selling for 105-115e. Personally I wouldn't have put the S/B so high, just to stimulate interest, but thats just a matter of style.

Yang Whirlwind

Yang Whirlwind

~ Retired ~

Join Date: Nov 2005

Copenhagen, Denmark (GMT +1)

E/

Bought an extra Kuunavang from a guildie for 60K a long time ago. He was annoyed with the sounds it was making when used. Later I sold one of the two I had for 100K+10e. Now I realize I should have kept it.

The development of the Asian mini's is even more extreme. Three months ago I bought and unded Oni for 650e - now I see them selling for 1050e. I'm keeping mine, but it is extreme how their price have rocketed lately.

BenjZee

BenjZee

Forge Runner

Join Date: Dec 2006

The Overacheivers [Club]

Mo/

I'm not suggesting a form or RMT but a collectors edition is £16...

Pleikki

Pleikki

WTB q8 15^50 Weapons!

Join Date: Nov 2006

???oo ???ugs ???lan [?????????]

Quote:
Originally Posted by Yang Whirlwind View Post
Bought an extra Kuunavang from a guildie for 60K a long time ago. He was annoyed with the sounds it was making when used. Later I sold one of the two I had for 100K+10e. Now I realize I should have kept it.

The development of the Asian mini's is even more extreme. Three months ago I bought and unded Oni for 650e - now I see them selling for 1050e. I'm keeping mine, but it is extreme how their price have rocketed lately.
tell me about it, Even with ded minis its ridiclous. few weeks back ded oni = 90-100e, now 250e, wtf?
and Island guardian did skyrocket most imo.
like 1.5month ago, dedicated was ~3200e. now 5000e+

WhiteWasabi

WhiteWasabi

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Mar 2006

KAMADAN AD1

Zealots of Shiverpeak

E/

Very interesting to see Kuuna prices on a chart like that. Thanks for the work you put into making the chart. I would bet that all the non-Bday minis have a similar trend.

I am long on Varesh, Certadon, Gray giant, Asura and shorting Oni, Naga, Yeti.

BenjZee

BenjZee

Forge Runner

Join Date: Dec 2006

The Overacheivers [Club]

Mo/

I don't predict the price for varesh to go up that much mainly because its unpopular. Also there was alot more as it was clearly advertised during the release of nightfall. The kuunavang was the first time this has been done and it was added extra i believe.

Then again Varesh will eventually be rare as no one wants them

Fates

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Jul 2005

Kanuckistan

Mirror of Reason [SNOW]

R/

Quote:
Originally Posted by SmithyBen View Post
I'm not suggesting a form or RMT but a collectors edition is £16...
Where?

123456

nuclear_herring

nuclear_herring

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2007

New Zealand

Impus Jaenellus (Imp)

R/Mo

I think rare minipet prices will keep going up until a release date for GW2 is announced. Then they will go mental for a bit until GW2 actually comes out and people realise there is no real advantage to having them. then prices will dump.

fb2000

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Apr 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by WhiteWasabi View Post
I am long on Varesh, Certadon, Gray giant, Asura and shorting Oni, Naga, Yeti.
keep your positions open for a week or two until the new Zkeys hit the market . Then go short

Puddin Cheeks

Puddin Cheeks

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Aug 2006

On Welfare

Jelly of the Month [Club]

Quote:
Originally Posted by nuclear_herring View Post
With the monthly xunlai tournament cash is injected into the economy - fuelling inflation even further.
As soon as someone posts this, they are just dumb and welcome to the hoards of others who do not understand.

Martin Alvito

Martin Alvito

Older Than God (1)

Join Date: Aug 2006

Clan Dethryche [dth]

Quote:
Originally Posted by Puddin Cheeks View Post
As soon as someone posts this, they are just dumb and welcome to the hoards of others who do not understand.
Care to make an argument rather than an unfounded assertion here?

Your logic: this statement is true because I say it is.

Loki Seiguro

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jun 2006

IGN: Scarlet Test Ace

We play Isketch in [HoH]

E/

I'm glad I bought a bunch a while ago, too bad I sold them during one of the lesser price spikes

Shayne Hawke

Shayne Hawke

Departed from Tyria

Join Date: May 2007

Clan Dethryche [dth]

R/

Yeah, I've been seeing a few people asking more about Gray Giants and Asuran minis lately. Is this price hike only affecting the undedicated minipets, or are the dedicated minis actually seeing a similar shift?

Martin Alvito

Martin Alvito

Older Than God (1)

Join Date: Aug 2006

Clan Dethryche [dth]

To some extent. A ded Oni has shot up from 100e to around 250e recently. Ded Kuunas have probably doubled in price.

With things like the Asura and Gray Giant, there's enough supply that only undedicated ones move right now.