Increase in Lockpick Droprate?

Casey5191

Pre-Searing Cadet

Join Date: Feb 2008

Indication of Hostility [ioh]

Me/

Has anyone else noticed an increase in the droprate of lockpicks? I've found 7 lockpicks in the past 2 hours. Normally i might get 1 in 2 hours.

Hobbs

Hobbs

Desert Nomad

Join Date: May 2006

Organised Spam [OS]

W/

Doing the ZB yesterday I only got 2 drops and both were Lockpicks. Pretty sure it's just chance b

Mindtrust

Mindtrust

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: May 2005

Stockholm, Sweden

Wolffestar Clan - WSC

Mo/

pure luck / randomness
yesterday i got 3 black dyes in from killing 10 foes, before that it was months since i had a black dye and today its back to normal not a single black dye in sight
Concerning lockpicks i seem to have a normal rate every 50-100 kill or so i get one.

majoho

majoho

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jul 2006

Denmark

Quote:
Originally Posted by Casey5191 View Post
Has anyone else noticed an increase in the droprate of lockpicks? I've found 7 lockpicks in the past 2 hours. Normally i might get 1 in 2 hours.
Haven't played in a while but the last week I have played 20 hours or so and I've not had one lockpick drop at all. (all in HM)

Casey5191

Pre-Searing Cadet

Join Date: Feb 2008

Indication of Hostility [ioh]

Me/

yeah i figured it was just randomness. just thought i'd make sure.

matter of time

Academy Page

Join Date: Oct 2010

it's totally random from the point of the person playing the game.
Ecto droped from 3 consequitve mobs ... omg ... ecto drop increased incerdibly ! ...
no ecto from mobs during a full run ... omg ... the reduced the ecto drop rate ...!

jimbo32

jimbo32

Site Contributor

Join Date: Aug 2008

Canada

Gentlemens Club [GC]

W/

My Derv got six picks earlier this week playing through 4 or 5 EotN missions (probably
3-4 hours). I thought it was a bit much to be a coincidence - even double-drop weekends aren't that noticeable. I guess it could be random luck though. *shrug*

jray14

jray14

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: May 2005

NC, USA

Ohm Mahnee Pedmay [Hoom]

I noticed a huge spike in the lockpick droprate a few hours ago too. I think since they ran out of clovers and ale, they tripled lockpicks instead.

Chocolate_Prayers

Chocolate_Prayers

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Oct 2007

Australia

Mo/

must be the luck o' the irish

Though I must admit, I did get quite an abnormal amount of lockpicks today.. chances are it really is just coincidence..

cosyfiep

cosyfiep

are we there yet?

Join Date: Dec 2005

in a land far far away

guild? I am supposed to have a guild?

Rt/

tons of 'special' weekend stuff and NOT much of ANYTHING else so yeah not a single pick this week.

Captain Bulldozer

Captain Bulldozer

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Jan 2008

Servants of the Dragon Flames [SODF]

FYI: most people have a distorted view of randomness. It's actually quite common for random events with low probabilities to cluster together. In a game environment, where things are determined by a "random" number generator of some kind, true randomness is hard to obtain, but quite a few RNG programs get close. I'm not sure which one GW uses, but it seems to be pretty good in my experience. So once again, don't be surprised when rare events cluster together, its known phenomenon in probability theory and doesn't indicate any change to the underlying probabilities.