Yeah, I didn't mean to imply that the lack of bids that high indicates you could find or bargain to get it cheaper. If anything, I would expect an increase since then.
Ah, you introducing a "new, active" one on the market probably lowers it a bit since only one has been confirmed to possibly be for sale in the recent past, but with any items this rare, it all depends on who is interested when the bidding starts.
The problem is we all know aerus have one, but he put it it for sale twice, once for 400a and once for 220a if I'm right and just had no offer on it, at the end he won't sell and people know that since he wasn't playing at that time and never logged back