Shamrock Ale vs Clover Drop Rate

I've been troll farming. I figure I might as well make some cash while I'm getting these things.

At first I had like 20 Clovers and like 3 Ales, but they have evened out since.

I have 12 ales and 14 clovers
I've been farming them in shing jey

1 ale/1 shamrock

even for me!

That doesn't really make sense.

"Random" means equal chances for each possibility. With only 2 potential outcomes (ale or clover) for each unique drop instance, there is a 50% probability (i.e., an even chance) for either a clover or an ale.

Of course there will be some deviation, but it's equivalent to a coin flip.

Yeah i know and sometimes when i flip a coin I will get tails 10 times in a row

111 Shamrock Ales 109 Clovers now... Very Even ... 50/50

I'm a little surprised at that. There's less than a 1/1000 chance of that happening. And you've done it more than once? (you said "sometimes"). I've never tried it myself; don't have the patience.

More on point, I've gotten 13 clovers and 16 ales so far. I need more though, because I'm greedy! Something more along the lines of your stash.

Oh well. First Thread I have started and I was pretty sure Somebody would flame me or call me a lier or say something about my mother heheh No big deal. Just thought it was Odd that I was getting almost exact 50/50 drop rate on the weekend items. Perhaps some think this is a silly question seeing as it is quite apparent that the answer is they Have the same Drop % I just wanted to confirm this is what everyone else was getting and this appears to be the case. Thanks for all the responses everyone.

For me its the same, I got 60/62 (Ale,Clovers), so it looks its 1:1 ratio.

The ratio has since evened out for me.

3 clover 1 ale...just from doing THK on my mesmer.. too lazy to farm :/

7 ales - 1 clover

102 Ales 111 Shamrocks.....Tho I did get drunk a couple of times.

I have more clovers than ales too.

I've only have four ales, but I traded them to a guildy for clovers.

Slightly more clover than ale, but really close.

If you had tried you'd know that you can time the flip of a coin. That way you can always catch it a certain way. Well not always, but with enough practice you can get what you want most of the time.

Anyways my ratio is pretty close to 1:1, though I don't have alot of either.

about 110 of each. I did some vermin farming, and not only did I make enough money for two sets of 15k armor, I got enough alcohol to enjoy it, and enough clovers to cover me when that pesky rat takes advantage of me.

69 Green Bits, 85 Ales.

I'm sorry.

I thought we were talking about fair coin flips. Based on my brief comment on statistics (which I really know nothing about. I was just using common sense), I think it was apparent that that was what I was discussing. Because of that, it makes sense that any direct responses to my posts would be on point--fair coin flips.

The intent of my first post was just to clarify something for the original poster (a clarification which he seemed to ask for). He stated that he didn't understand why he personally wasn't seeing a significant "random" swing one way or the other.

Well, if the drops truly are random (I assume that the OP was correct about that), there is a sensible reason for his drop split--for why some results are expected, and why others are very very difficult to achieve (such as 10 consectuive fair coin flips each resulting in tails).

Anna

EDIT: Final tally - a paltry 13 clovers and 16 ales (unchanged from my last report)