Celestial mini-ox a frequent drop this year?

joea64

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Mar 2008

Northern VA, USA

Above and Beyond Duty (Duty)

Rt/Mo

Based on my hopelessly unscientific survey of Shing Jea Monastery (mainly AD42) during this past weekend, it seems to me that the Celestial mini-ox is a rather more common drop than I would have anticipated beforehand. I know at least two people in my own guild who got two oxen from lunar fortunes, and I got one of my own on about my 60th or 70th popped fortune (spent the rest of my tokens on gift bags). There were often five or six mini-oxen wandering around within my immediate field of view in SJM yesterday. All that makes me wonder how valuable this year's mini is going to end up actually being. Comments?

Firebaall

Firebaall

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Sep 2006

3 out of 590 fortunes. Common.

draxynnic

draxynnic

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Nov 2005

[CRFH]

Luck. It took me about five hundred fortunes to pop an ox (I wasn't keeping track, but it required the full supply of lunar tokens from completing all the festival quests on ten characters...)

That said, the price does seem to be lower than for rats last year - the average seemed to be 20-25k, and some people were out trying to buy for as low as 10k.

isildorbiafra

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Aug 2007

The Netherlands

W/

More common than the mini pig...and I dont mean the celestial one

Mister_Smiley

Mister_Smiley

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Mar 2006

216 i got 3 of them, i still had another 250 and sold it. I got more and in 37 i got 1 more, so in a total of basicly 250, i got 4 of them. Very Common, but i'm also very lucky.


I wouldn't say more common then the normal mini pig.

cosyfiep

cosyfiep

are we there yet?

Join Date: Dec 2005

in a land far far away

guild? I am supposed to have a guild?

Rt/

not sure what the frequency is but I opened mine in batches.
38-0
83-2 (one with 57 left, 2nd with 6 left)
31-0
33-0
68-2 (one with 53 left, 2nd with 28 left)

did the bags for some time...had misc left over lunar tokens on characters who them got fortunes...gave me a total of 6 more

so
6-1--on the first one!! (almost fell off my chair!).

so ~250 and 5 ox

they arent as cute as the mousey (ok, I am a bit prejudiced about the mousey )....or the pig which may be the reason for the lack of higher prices.

englitdaudelin

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jul 2006

East Coast

Soldier's Union [SU]

N/Me

177 Fortunes, 1 ox for me. 480 fortunes, 1 ox for a guildie. But 177 fortunes is what, 5 stacks of tokens for an ox? 480 fortunes took 10 characters, I think. For some people, the ox is common; for the people without 6 or 8 characters it might be a little less common.

warrior running

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2008

The Cape Is A Lie[Trim]

W/E

I just bought one

Orfas

Orfas

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Oct 2007

behind you!

Archangels Fury [AF]

W/

I opened over 400 and I didnt get 1 XD

A11Eur0

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2005

W/

guildie got 3 after about 500 opens. Like...his last three fortunes were oxen.

I got one then used the rest of my tokens on red bags, so I'd say one after about 300 opens.

kupp

kupp

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Feb 2008

The Shiverpeaks

[KISS]

W/

Opened ~350 fortunes, got 6.

{IceFire}

{IceFire}

Forge Runner

Join Date: Oct 2005

W/

opened 20 and got 1 ox :P

I pwnd U

I pwnd U

God of Spammers

Join Date: Oct 2005

in the middle of a burning cornfield...

Scars Meadows [SMS] (Officer)

41-2: 41 fortunes opened and 2 oxes, 1 on the very last fortune.
37-0

So over all, 78 opened, 2 oxes. Better luck then I had with the MPB. >.>

Beta Sprite

Beta Sprite

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Jul 2006

Madison, WI

R/

Around 90 fortunes didn't get me an Ox. I ended up trading an extra Rat I had around for one.

Garreth MacLeod

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Nov 2005

618 fortunes and no ox. Based on my results....the celestial ox does not exist.

Hailfall

Hailfall

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Aug 2005

Germany

Phantom Commando

N/

Had to do the quests on all my chars (7 chars) and trading all the tokens i got from that for fortunes to get one on my last set of fortunes.. :\


Guildie of mine got one out of his first 25 fortunes.. -.-

Compared to last year, the droprate has gone down. Last year i ended up with 5 rats or so out of the same amount of fortunes.

Chthon

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: Apr 2007

I was way over 250 when I get my one and only ox.

zelgadissan

zelgadissan

Forge Runner

Join Date: Feb 2008

The Warrior Priests [WP]

Me/Rt

I opened ~75 fortunes and got one ox at roughly the 60th. All my other tokens went to bags.

Aussie Boy

Aussie Boy

Alcoholic

Join Date: Mar 2007

Australia

W/

So if there are so many maybe next year Anet in their wisdom will trade 5 Celestial Ox for a normal skin ox

Shadowhaze

Shadowhaze

Nothing, tra la la?

Join Date: Oct 2007

I opened a lil over 500...no ox.

Same as Hailfall - last year, I had good luck with the mini, but not this year.

MisterB

MisterB

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Oct 2005

Planet Earth, Sol system, Milky Way galaxy

[ban]

W/

297 fortunes and zero oxen. Wiki claims 0.33% chance. So I should have opened 3 more.
Yes, I know statistics don't work like that.

razerbeak

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: May 2006

R/

I got 4 of them out of appox. 300 fortunes :P

Kook~NBK~

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: Mar 2005

A little chalet outside Drok's

Natural Born Killaz

Out of around 600 fortunes, I got nuthin!

Gratz to those who got 1!

Krill

Krill

Desert Nomad

Join Date: May 2005

America

I opened nearly 400 without one, but did one last roller beetle run this morning and got 2 oxes from my last 20 fortunes.

OoO Rift OoO

OoO Rift OoO

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Jan 2009

127.0.0.1

Rt/

83 - 1 mini
33 - 1 mini
17 - 1 mini

Yea i got lucky. Last year o got no mini. Less chance, more random.

Lord Of Blame

Lord Of Blame

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Aug 2008

USA

Marked Souls [MkS]

E/N

300 fortunes, 4 ox

Talon one

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Dec 2005

ice

W/

7 oxen out of 1425+ fortunes, thats a 0.49% chance or 1 every 200 tokens. maybe i was a bit lucky.

probably the same droprate as last year, but i have more characters to do the quests with

Shadowfox1125

Shadowfox1125

Forge Runner

Join Date: Mar 2005

PST

W/

I opened roughly 300 or so fortunes, didn't even get one. I remember getting 6 pigs within ~200 fortunes the first Canthan New Year. /sigh.

Crimzon_DST

Crimzon_DST

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Oct 2006

Houston, TX

Dark Soul Takers

D/

I used just shy of 400 fortunes and no mini ox. Last year got quite a few rats in less fortunes.

Hanging Man

Hanging Man

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Aug 2006

Deep in the Shire

I opened around 90 lunar fortunes all together and got one
got my ox on the first fortune I opened to
then i stopped getting fortunes, no need after got my oxy.

lewis91

lewis91

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Jul 2008

Wales

Order of the Azurelight[OA]

E/

um 1 out of 765...extreemly frustraiting after a guildie getting 11 out of 600...common for him, rare for me.

Shadowspawn X

Shadowspawn X

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jun 2005

Fellowship of Champions

R/E

I opened about 140 fortunes and did not get an ox nor did I get a rat last year. So I brought two oxen and traded one for a rat so I'm all caught up anyway.

Shayne Hawke

Shayne Hawke

Departed from Tyria

Join Date: May 2007

Clan Dethryche [dth]

R/

I sold a guy about 60 Tokens and he came back and said he got an Ox, so that's like 1 in 10 tries.

Moral of the story: It's all luck. Find suckers like I did so that you can buy, dedicate, and sell one of the minis for a net cost of nothing.

AngelWJedi

AngelWJedi

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Sep 2008

orlando,florida

Society of Souls [Argh]

Rt/E

i got like 9 ox out of 3-5 stacks of fortunes. but it is lucky based. last year i didnt get one rat so maybe my luck returned to me in time. lol does anyone know the ball park price of these little mooers yet?

Bobulation

Bobulation

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: May 2008

USA

W/Mo

Idk if its more frequent last year, i got 7 celestial rats in 200 fortunes last year.

madriel222

madriel222

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Feb 2008

Denver, Colorado

Reign of Judgment [RoJ]

Me/A

Went through 4,000 fortunes (16 stacks) and got a grand total of 0 ox. Eventually had to buy one from a guildie who got 2 in 10 fortunes...

Chicken of the Seas

Chicken of the Seas

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Apr 2006

California, USA

Vulpes Velox [Fox]

Me/

I didn't get any at about 200 opened fortunes. I got my rat last year within the first 10 drops though. And I like ox better, meh.

Not The One

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Jan 2007

New Jersey

The Pink Animal Clan [Pink]

E/

opened 712. no mini.

Theus Latius

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Oct 2007

Cape Town, South Africa

Tomahn Tso Dni [URU]

R/

I got no pig or no rat in the last 2 years. This year anet felt sorry for me and I got an ox on my 10th lunar fortune. Sold the rest of my fortunes and tokens.

LicensedLuny

Badly Influenced

Join Date: Dec 2005

Buying Humps! (No kidding! Check my buy thread)

Hello Kitty Krewe [HKK] Forever!-ish

I did quests, including one of the Istan quests, on all 10 of my PvE characters (Hai Len is so tediously slow,) and used some tokens left over from last year and wound up with 521 fortunes.

From those 521 fortunes I got 4 oxen and gave the spares to friends.

Based on the reports at wiki, seems to me like about a 1/200 or better chance this year. http://wiki.guildwars.com/wiki/Lunar_Fortune/Drop_rate