ok im not whinning or whatever ive gotten 3 tigers with 4 character not too bad
but if its this common is it gonna be worth anything later i mean i see the prices at around 60-80k atm
to me honestly thats not alot to some i guess its a fortune but wow is that the most these kittens are gonan be at?
i know the drop rate is what .33% or so
whats your opinion on this commonarity lol
ok so exactly how common is this tiger mini?
jch_8705
sykoone
They're about as rare as the Ox, which dipped as low as 20k after a couple months, then started a slow climb back up.
Arduin
The tiger is a limited offer miniature, so prices are expected to rise after CNY. However, because of the very high abundance and the easy-to-get-nature of the minipet, don't expect to get rich from selling them in the next two years.
jch_8705
hum guess i should sell them now to less fortunate ppl i been getting offer left and right but im a giver hate to take advantage of ppl lol
JimmyNeutron
Quote:
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Originally Posted by jch_8705
hum guess i should sell them now to less fortunate ppl i been getting offer left and right but im a giver hate to take advantage of ppl lol
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IGN: Filthy Rich Biatch
Shadow Feathers
I'm with everyone else unless you're going to wait for several years you're not going to get rich from selling these minis if that's what you were really asking.
Far as how common they are, they don't actually seem to be rare or at the .33% of dropping from what I've seen within my own guild. I got one after opening 90 fortunes, another guild member after only 25 fortunes and we have another who has only opened 300 and now has 4 mini tigers. Perhaps it's all just dumb luck but the drop rate seems much higer then the .33 % that wikki claims and I've seen things on wikki that were wrong before. Is there a thread where anyone is actually seeing who got what and trying to get an actual average ?
Far as how common they are, they don't actually seem to be rare or at the .33% of dropping from what I've seen within my own guild. I got one after opening 90 fortunes, another guild member after only 25 fortunes and we have another who has only opened 300 and now has 4 mini tigers. Perhaps it's all just dumb luck but the drop rate seems much higer then the .33 % that wikki claims and I've seen things on wikki that were wrong before. Is there a thread where anyone is actually seeing who got what and trying to get an actual average ?
Baku_The_Killer
So, why did the Celestial Pig went up to 300e+?? They're not just the same harder to get?
I see Celestial Tigers unded for 40-60k... I doubt it reaches more than 100k, but don't have idea on why the Pig did.
I see Celestial Tigers unded for 40-60k... I doubt it reaches more than 100k, but don't have idea on why the Pig did.
jch_8705
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Baku_The_Killer
So, why did the Celestial Pig went up to 300e+?? They're not just the same harder to get?
I see Celestial Tigers unded for 40-60k... I doubt it reaches more than 100k, but don't have idea on why the Pig did. |
actually celestial pigs were different they didnt drop but rather you had to trade 4 regular pigs to receive 1 celestial pig thus making them imposible to get other than buying now a days
JimmyNeutron
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Baku_The_Killer
So, why did the Celestial Pig went up to 300e+?? They're not just the same harder to get?
I see Celestial Tigers unded for 40-60k... I doubt it reaches more than 100k, but don't have idea on why the Pig did. |
a LOT of work....REALLY
Lord Dagon
perosnally i think that .33 droprate is a lie. I managed( w/in about 30 foruntes) to get 3 tigers. And before that i got 1 in my first 20. i think perosnally( just based on me) the droprate is preety darn high lmao.
JimmyNeutron
2,680 Lunar Fortunes and ZERO (0) Celestial Tiger 
Premium Unleaded
Arduin
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tobi Madera
perosnally i think that .33 droprate is a lie. I managed( w/in about 30 foruntes) to get 3 tigers. And before that i got 1 in my first 20. i think perosnally( just based on me) the droprate is preety darn high lmao.
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sixdartbart
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Arduin
The .33 is an average.
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chaosincarnate87
Quote:
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Originally Posted by JimmyNeutron
5 regular piggies = 1 celestial piggies....more work meaning you have to buy 5 pigs and turn it in.
a LOT of work....REALLY |
but 673 fortunes = 5 tigers for me. some people just have better luck with em than others, ive seen people in ally open over 1000 and only get 1 or none.
Arduin
Quote:
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Originally Posted by sixdartbart
or a completely made up stat like most things are...
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http://wiki.guildwars.com/wiki/Lunar_Fortune/Drop_rate
Sample size of 11,659 fortunes. Maybe it isn't exactly .33 , but probably not more than 1%
sixdartbart
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Arduin
Well, it is kinda documented on the wiki.
http://wiki.guildwars.com/wiki/Lunar_Fortune/Drop_rate Sample size of 11,659 fortunes. Maybe it isn't exactly .33 , but probably not more than 1% |
If I add in my data of 100 fortunes in which I got 1 tiger on the 10th one I opened then got 4 more fortunes which I got another tiger on the 4th that does what to the .33%?
Then add in more like that which I have seen several posts this weekend at least claiming to have had several drops in a small amount of fortunes and what happens to the numbers?
Not trying to argue here, just saying.
Just because you read something somewhere doesn't make it true.
87.4% of all statistics are made up {including this one}
That number goes up greatly on the internet.
HawkofStorms
Quote:
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Originally Posted by sixdartbart
And that is offered up by a very small amount of people whos numbers may or may not be accurate or even true.
If I add in my data of 100 fortunes in which I got 1 tiger on the 10th one I opened then got 4 more fortunes which I got another tiger on the 4th that does what to the .33%? Then add in more like that which I have seen several posts this weekend at least claiming to have had several drops in a small amount of fortunes and what happens to the numbers? Not trying to argue here, just saying. Just because you read something somewhere doesn't make it true. 87.4% of all statistics are made up {including this one} That number goes up greatly on the internet. |
And people's anecdotal "I've open 20 and got 2 tigers" is a much better way to base statistical theory on.
Look, you asked for numbers. We gave you numbers. You try to refute the validity of the numbers with NOTHING.
Sorry, not going to happen. Especially considering how valid wiki drop rate research is in other areas. And considering the shear size of the sample and the number of different people who have been involved in it.
madriel222
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Arduin
Well, it is kinda documented on the wiki.
http://wiki.guildwars.com/wiki/Lunar_Fortune/Drop_rate Sample size of 11,659 fortunes. Maybe it isn't exactly .33 , but probably not more than 1% |
ightgg
Right as im reading this thread, i decide to open 75 more fortunes (making it a total of 250 fortunes which is equal to 3 stacks of tokens) and i got one! Woot i love my tiger 
sixdartbart
Quote:
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Originally Posted by HawkofStorms
Look, you asked for numbers. We gave you numbers. You try to refute the validity of the numbers with NOTHING.
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And where did your "We" come into play here as this is your first post on this thread.
Sorry but you are just a troll and not a very good one at that.
As for all of the wiki numbers who says any of those aren't made up by the people who posted them?
Just as valid as the people who post their anecdotal "I've open 20 and got 2 tigers" IMO. {not at all}
Solar AUS
for what its worth: i opened about 250 fortunes and got 2 tigers.
sold 1 for 60k
sold 1 for 60k
byteme!
10 characters = approximately 450 fortunes
Result = 5 Tigers
Hardly rare and heavily overpriced in my opinion. Managed to sell them all for 50-60k in game while they are still hot.
[edit]Opened 73 more fortunes. Got another 2 Tigers and sold both for 45k.
Result = 5 Tigers
Hardly rare and heavily overpriced in my opinion. Managed to sell them all for 50-60k in game while they are still hot.
[edit]Opened 73 more fortunes. Got another 2 Tigers and sold both for 45k.
Lloyd6770
I think I opened about 100 fortunes, maybe 125 max, and I got 1 tiger.
Gondrakif
180-190 fortunes 2 tigers
Risus
0.33% is complete bull crap. Stats are all bull crap in this game. So is the "farm code" and every other anti farming measure they have implemented. ANet hasn't confirmed any and I've actually proven they don't exist via tests. They are all sitting in Seattle laughing their heads off at the idiodic conspiracy theories that everyone believes.
There is no reason, if you get 1 in 1, thats 100% chance, if you get 2 in 10, its 20%, unless you open up for me an infinite amount of Lunar Fortunes, don't tell me the drop rate. Also, accountability is an issue. I can say I got 20 tigers in 30 fortunes but thats complete bull crap because I've gotten 0 out of 2 stacks. Its luck. You get one, or you don't. No "you have a .33% chance of getting one."
And to all the people QQ'ing that they opened enough to where they should be guranteed one, its not remembering every fortune. Think of a big Wheel of Fortune wheel, with the tiger being the tiniest fleck on that. The wheel spins every time you open a fortune. You don't take part of the wheel off.
There is no reason, if you get 1 in 1, thats 100% chance, if you get 2 in 10, its 20%, unless you open up for me an infinite amount of Lunar Fortunes, don't tell me the drop rate. Also, accountability is an issue. I can say I got 20 tigers in 30 fortunes but thats complete bull crap because I've gotten 0 out of 2 stacks. Its luck. You get one, or you don't. No "you have a .33% chance of getting one."
And to all the people QQ'ing that they opened enough to where they should be guranteed one, its not remembering every fortune. Think of a big Wheel of Fortune wheel, with the tiger being the tiniest fleck on that. The wheel spins every time you open a fortune. You don't take part of the wheel off.
jonnieboi05
I spent a little over 500e on Fortunes and only came out with 49 Tigers.
W.
T.
F?
-_-
W.
T.
F?
-_-
Dzjudz
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Risus
And to all the people QQ'ing that they opened enough to where they should be guranteed one, its not remembering every fortune. Think of a big Wheel of Fortune wheel, with the tiger being the tiniest fleck on that. The wheel spins every time you open a fortune. You don't take part of the wheel off.
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Personally, I got 3 tigers out of around 900 fortunes now.
twpool62
200 plus fortunes opened ,zero zip nada tigers.
Lord Dagon
i mean when i got those everyone in my alaince were cussing at me and i had to show them my minis... they werent happy xD.
personally i thought i was luckier then heck but thats just me. but yea i knwo ppl in my guild that bought together over 20 stakcs of lunars and didnt get one. and i got 4 w/in 50. so relaly i dont know what the chances are but the celestrials are being good to me this year lmao.
personally i thought i was luckier then heck but thats just me. but yea i knwo ppl in my guild that bought together over 20 stakcs of lunars and didnt get one. and i got 4 w/in 50. so relaly i dont know what the chances are but the celestrials are being good to me this year lmao.
Verene
I opened about 200 fortunes and got a Tiger somewhere around fortune number 175. I wanted a sparklecat which is why I bothered doing the quests at all but figured it wasn't going to happen. Especially since I kept getting code 50 trying to log into a couple of my characters and just didn't feel like doing all of the quests 10 times over as it was.
So, needless to say, I am happy.
So, needless to say, I am happy.
ShadowsRequiem
openned 52 on my war (first char clearing all the quests) got a tiger around 46 maybe
Have about a stack of fortunes left dunno if I should open them or just sell.
Have about a stack of fortunes left dunno if I should open them or just sell.
Trinity Fire Angel
out of about 350 fortunes i got one sparklecat. last year i got 3 ox's. i think this year they might be more rare.
glacialphoenix
Got mine on my 50th or so fortune and switched to trading for the bags instead.
ShadowsRequiem
just cashed in my 750 tokens for 250 fortunes, 1 tiger from 250 lol.
Kaitoa
i opened one fortune in the first 5 mins of the event and got a tiger, which i sold for 20e
I have since opened 100 and gotten another 2 tigers so i thought the drop rate was high as well, and was happy with selln my first one for that many ectos.
I have since opened 100 and gotten another 2 tigers so i thought the drop rate was high as well, and was happy with selln my first one for that many ectos.
yuureitj
Sure enough I would believe they'll go up in price, once people start dedicating them.
Or even when people just stop playing~ Price is going to up, but I doubt really high, cause the drop rate was pretty high.
I mean it was also based on luck~ but if you think about it, those who opened fortunes with like 10-50 at a time usually had a better chance at getting a tiger, compared to those who opened like 100+ at a time >.>
Or even when people just stop playing~ Price is going to up, but I doubt really high, cause the drop rate was pretty high.
I mean it was also based on luck~ but if you think about it, those who opened fortunes with like 10-50 at a time usually had a better chance at getting a tiger, compared to those who opened like 100+ at a time >.>
Atlantis29
for tho of you with a stack or 2 of fortunes left i notice somthing you only get one tiger at a time so open them till you get one droped then zone and repeat i got 5 tigers from 3 stacks that way
bsoltan
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Atlantis29
for tho of you with a stack or 2 of fortunes left i notice somthing you only get one tiger at a time so open them till you get one droped then zone and repeat i got 5 tigers from 3 stacks that way
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As has been said, it is just random. You win some, you lose some. Just like chest drops etc. The only way we'd know what it is like is if we had accurate droprate info, but this is impossible to guarantee.
I got 3 tigers in nearly 900 fortunes:
Tiger @ 287, 303 & 796
miriforst
statistics is.., well statistic and nothing more, nothing less
you never can say "well if i open this i have a 10% chance of getting a "insert itemname here" so if i open 10 i will get one on the 10th"
its only percentages of an unspecified amount.
i got 1 one the last fortunes on my last character and one the same 15 presents got the other one
no "statistics is ---" talk since its an abstract (dunno how its spellt) therm.
anyway gg on Cny everyone!
you never can say "well if i open this i have a 10% chance of getting a "insert itemname here" so if i open 10 i will get one on the 10th"
its only percentages of an unspecified amount.
i got 1 one the last fortunes on my last character and one the same 15 presents got the other one
no "statistics is ---" talk since its an abstract (dunno how its spellt) therm.
anyway gg on Cny everyone!