Item values - lowballers or overly optimistic sellers?

jimbo32

jimbo32

Site Contributor

Join Date: Aug 2008

Canada

Gentlemens Club [GC]

W/

Hey folks,

I've seen a few comments lately regarding the amount of "lowball" offers on Guru (and to a lesser extent, in-game as well). There's also been quite a few high-end threads which end up closed or abandoned due to the seller being unhappy with the quality of the bids.

So here's what I'd like to hear some opinions on...

Do you think it's true that Guru traders (in general) are really a bunch of good-for-nothing lowballers, or is it simply that people are unwilling to accept the fact that their items aren't worth what they think?

My opinion is that an item is worth exactly what someone else is willing to pay for it. If an item hasn't reached the seller's r/b after weeks of thread bumps, it's probably overpriced rather than being a victim of lowballers.

Thoughts?

(As an aside, am I the only one who's noticed that shaky, common, or mediocre oldschools seem to have ridiculously high price tags lately?)

tooburns

tooburns

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Dec 2005

u know where my spot is !

Teh Academy [PhD]. Officer.

W/

1- sometime seller want to sell high to fast and after 2-3 day they are not happy and leave it behind for ever

2- Show off thread .. i sell every thing blah blah ... and always end never selling... there's some item for sale on here for over a years and just coming up again and again end again and point 3 coming

3- Seller want crazy price pecause in their mind that item is 1 of 1 so get ecto out if you want it .... i mean crazy price .... not 25-50e over but they are so blind by that 1 of 1 they never gonna sell because they asking rly too much

4- Low ball ... im not gonna bring name on but i can think of some dude biding every where low offer (maybe just to show off)... what's the point of biding 50e on q9 inscr crysta (exemple) just gtfo and delete your guru account plz
4.1 Rookies POWA TRADA MOTHA FCKA trying to get low to resell high but they dont get the point of trading ... and looking for hundred of item to sell insted of doind 2-3 good deal so the bid every where and we are all nuubs for those stupid dude (ask ms magic about crystaline lol) and that bring 4.2
4.2 Jalous people... who fake bid huge ammount or low ball as fck because they can't affroid that item

5- But but but but i think there is still a good trader comunity with some nice trader who sell for right price, buy for right price, help each other and those one are guys you can trust 110%

6. about that

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo32 View Post

My opinion is that an item is worth exactly what someone else is willing to pay for it. If an item hasn't reached the seller's r/b after weeks of thread bumps, it's probably overpriced rather than being a victim of lowballers.
+1


Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo32 View Post
(As an aside, am I the only one who's noticed that shaky, common, or mediocre oldschools seem to have ridiculously high price tags lately?)
1 - maybe because people have moar money those day and just dont care, they want they buy

2 - Bad price checking , bad information ... you get the point ...going right in to a fail sale again ...

sry for my bad and poor english but im trying hard

Elnino

Elnino

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: May 2008

In a house

Proof Of A Nets Laziness[HB]

A/W

I'm not a hardcore trader or anything but I've done my fair share of it and I don't really have any problem with lowballers because once the serious offers start coming in, they stop posting. It could also be a good thing because they add more replies to your thread and I don't know about you but I'm usually more tempted to view threads with more replies. More exposure I guess.

What I've noticed is a lot more items being put up with ridiculously high r/b and b/o prices. Heck, there's one thread where the seller has doubled or even tripled the price of their old school items (you might know who). My guess is power trading.

In the perspective of someone who's no where near as rich as some of the traders, I think a lot of items (excluding some super rarities) have incredibly inflated prices. Maybe you guys could explain it to me! For example, q8 axes can't drop anymore but q8 swords can so why are the swords worth more? You pretty much had to have started (power)trading by 2007 in order to afford a lot of the items these days.

David Moonbow

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: May 2006

If You Build It They Will Come

W/Rt

the only thing good i can say about lowball offers is.... free bump

the other thing is the collector thread is all well and good to show off but alot of trades have happened since its been active i see so many o/s trades everyone wanting to sell at the same time just my 2 cents.

i am not heavy wep collector anymore but i feel with the sudden increase in o/s so many ppl trying to get the best deal(lowball)

Rushin Roulette

Rushin Roulette

Forge Runner

Join Date: Sep 2007

Right here

Ende

I see the sellers at fault for lowball offers. What is the point of a starting bid when they obviously will not accept that price (Starting bid of 1K for an obviously highend mini for example). Make the S/B in the sales thread your R/B and everything is fine.


Dont screw around for weeks on end for one measly item if you 1. dont want to sell and 2. people dont know what you are willing to sell for. This will only let the thread be abandoned by buyers because they see the OP being 5 weeks old and still nothing sold even though they have been the highest bidder for 4 of those weeks.

Mouse at Large

Mouse at Large

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Dec 2005

Scotland

Fuzzy Physics Institute

E/

I'm not a power-trader and have no axe to grind with those who have. I've been playing the game for over 6 years and long ago decided to go for substance over style

That having been said, I think Jimbo's post summed it up perfectly. The only value of any item (above merch value) is what someone is willing to pay for it when it's offered for sale. "Lowballers" can be ignored by the seller regardless of their motives. But think a moment - everyone who calls themselves a "power trader" is or was in fact, to some degree a successful "lowballer"

bodyboarder

bodyboarder

retired

Join Date: Jun 2006

I wouldn't say that every person that calls themselves a "power trader" is a lowballer...most of the time its just getting lucky or someone not knowing the value of an item and selling cheap..that is not lowballing thats just accepting the price of the seller therefore being lucky.

Mouse at Large

Mouse at Large

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Dec 2005

Scotland

Fuzzy Physics Institute

E/

In my opinion, to use "lowballer" in a pejorative sense is to describe a bidding from people that have absolutey no intention (or means) of actually buying the item - the sort of 1k response to s/b 1k threads in high-end.

When I said "everyone who calls themselves a "power trader" is or was in fact, to some degree a successful "lowballer", it was not meant to be an insult, simply a way of saying that power trading involves bidding and buying low in the hope of making a substantial profit on a later sale. Nothing immoral in that

LicensedLuny

Badly Influenced

Join Date: Dec 2005

Buying Humps! (No kidding! Check my buy thread)

Hello Kitty Krewe [HKK] Forever!-ish

Good idea for a thread! I'm interested to read the replies, but I hope it doesn't turn into a flame or whining fest. I can understand the topic touching a lot of nerves, but I'm hoping folks can keep it diplomatic enough to keep it interesting.

tl;dr and/or "No, I don't want to take your stupid test, Luny! - Skip to the end.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo32 View Post
Hey folks,

I've seen a few comments lately regarding the amount of "lowball" offers on Guru (and to a lesser extent, in-game as well). There's also been quite a few high-end threads which end up closed or abandoned due to the seller being unhappy with the quality of the bids.
My only issue with what you just said there is your use of "few" and "lately." I've been involved in trading off and on since sometime in 2007 I think. I've never seen a time where there weren't a notable number of threads with rather negative-sounding comments from the owners indicating disappointment/frustration with "lowballers."

Quote:
So here's what I'd like to hear some opinions on...

Do you think it's true that Guru traders (in general) are really a bunch of good-for-nothing lowballers, or is it simply that people are unwilling to accept the fact that their items aren't worth what they think?
I don't think it's either of those because I don't think you can make such a generalization that covers the entire "Guru traders (in general)" group. We're too varied a bunch!

We, the Guru traders, are a subset of GW traders. It should come as no surprise that the game lacks anything nearly approaching a common venue for trading. Different players can have an astoundingly different set of experiences and observations which lead them to form their opinions on something as subjective as the "fair market value" in Monopoly money of certain pixels.

Please also consider that different players have different priorities and goals in this game. What might strike you as, "What a shameful waste of one's hard earned fake-money! Such insanity!" might well strike someone else as, "What a priceless keepsake and reminder of such wonderful fun!" or perhaps as, "I'm here playing this game to have fun <doing something besides trade> in my spare time! I don't care about the fake-money, I just want this icky trading done now so I can get back to my fun." You don't all have to agree, far from it! But none of the above outlooks are right, and none are wrong.

Quote:
My opinion is that an item is worth exactly what someone else is willing to pay for it. If an item hasn't reached the seller's r/b after weeks of thread bumps, it's probably overpriced rather than being a victim of lowballers.

Thoughts?
I would agree but with the following noted considerations.

1) Realize that your example above is not necessarily complete.
"If an item hasn't reached the seller's r/b after weeks of thread bumps, it's probably overpriced rather than ..." should read
"If an item hasn't reached the seller's r/b after weeks of thread bumps, it's probably overpriced in the current market at the current venue rather than ..."

2) The current owner of a shiny pixel gets the final say in the minimum amount of slimy pink goo they're willing to accept for their prized pixel, period. If the seller isn't willing to let it go for what a buyer is willing to pay, then the buyer has to live with that.



I propose a test for anyone who cares to try. Look at the following items. Honestly, ask yourself what single set prices you would choose if you HAD to. Do this BEFORE you click the spoiler button.
  1. gold Eternal Shield
    ar 16, r9 Strength
    Health +28
    -2stance
    inherent dual mods
    -----------------------
  2. gold Crude Shield
    ar 16, r9 Tactics
    +9ar vs. Demons
    19% +1 Curses
    inherent dual mods
    -----------------------
  3. gold Bladed Shield
    ar 16, r9 Tactics
    20% +1 Earth Magic
    +10ar vs. Demons
    -----------------------
  4. gold Dolyak Prod Staff
    max, r9, inscribable (of course)
    attached 20% enchanting wrap
    -----------------------
  5. purple Piercing Axe
    max, r9, inscribable
    junk attached mods
    -----------------------
  6. gold Wingblade Sword
    max, r12
    inherent +5 en
    -----------------------
  7. Wintergreen Scythe
    The inscribable r0 10-10 scythes from the early XTH at Wintersday 06/07.

Ok, remember - be honest with yourself! You needn't post your guesses or your results. I ask only that you are honest with yourself about how you would PC the above items.



PLEASE don't misunderstand - I am not trying to be condescending or patronizing with the test above. I've tried to pick examples from my own experiences trading to best demonstrate how impossible the odds are that each of our experiences and priorities in GW lead us all to the same conclusions on the price of gear.



I'm trying to avoid anything incendiary here, so please forgive me for any rage the following ignites within any of you. In my opinion, it's silly for a seller in that case to complain about lowballers. However, it seems equally silly for a buyer in that case to complain about overpricing. Perhaps I'm reading too much into your comments jimbo, but it seems to me like you are getting dangerously close to falling victim to the flip-side of such silliness. Breathe buddy! Breathe! I don't mean to tease you, honest. I just see the arguments here as having the potential to be rather hypocritical and wanted to warn against such.

Quote:
(As an aside, am I the only one who's noticed that shaky, common, or mediocre oldschools seem to have ridiculously high price tags lately?)
Yes and no. Since I've been back I've seen what strikes me as more interest in inherent and collector gear than I remember from 6-12 mo. ago when I was last paying attention. I would guess that's due to more players returning from long breaks lately and nostalgia value. I would say the prices seem higher, yes. I would not call them ridiculous, as they seem to be selling for such prices easily enough.

As for the common mediocre oldschool skins, I think that is most definitely from the returning players' nostalgia and personal tastes based on what they first saw in trade threads to drool over when it was just Prophecies or just Prophecies and Factions. I've got the impression that's around the time Ventari's usage peaked, but I could be wrong.


tl;dr - If you just got here with search then you missed the pop quiz and the chance to push a button!

To my way of thinking, there is too much variation in players' experiences and priorities in this game coupled with too many different venues where players meet to trade gear for anyone to be able to give 100% accurate assessments of items' prices.

I find taking offense from disagreements over the fake-money value of pixels a silly concept. Some buyers' grumblings about prices seem just as silly to me as some sellers' grumblings about lowballers. I guess some of you just enjoy getting a good rage on.




My most sincere wishes that each of you continues to find ways to keep having fun playing this game after all these years!

Cheers,
Luny

End

End

Forge Runner

Join Date: Jan 2008

Rubbing Potassium on water fountains.

LF guild that teaches MTSC (did it long ago before gw2 came out and I quit...but I barely remember)

N/A

Quote:
Originally Posted by LicensedLuny View Post

The market value of an item should be considered the average between all the trades of that item. Some are bound to be higher and some are bound to be lower. And occasionally you are going to have outliers (maybe quite a few when talking about a sample size for a couple thousand trades)




_____________________________


I was going to comment on the actual thread but I'm out of time. I will be editing this at a later time when I have access to a computer again.

carnage-runner

carnage-runner

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Aug 2006

Canada, B.C. Vancouver. aka.. amazing.

[Sith]

W/Me

This has come up a few times.
Yes, there are a lot of lowballers on guru.
No, that does not mean someones prices are outrageous.

Yes, I want premium ecto for my items, and I always consider my prices against what others have paid, or asked for in recent weeks/months or the last time one of what I have was sold.

If I don't get the price I want, it is my decision as the seller to change the price.

My personal opinion is that there are a lot of players on guru now who lowball to post farm, include themselves in the community in any way, or because the genuinely think they can get an item for a cheap price. Usually i don't mind, but it is annoying sometimes.

There was a time when b/o's were reasonable, and they were taken if you wanted an item. R/b's are only a recent thing. Some may call that a double standard, but I think my b/o's are reasonable. So who's to say... Maybe b/o's are reasonable, and all the reasonable ones are being taken too quickly because the community is very active in highend. Or maybe all the b/o's are unreasonable and we are all just epeener's. IMO.. that's what the showoff thread or collection thread is for. Highend is for selling.

Essence Snow

Essence Snow

Unbridled Enthusiasm!

Join Date: Nov 2009

EST

DPR

I am of the opinion that if there is a r/b there is only 1 reason to have a s/b lower than it......extra thread bumps. Kinda of a sneaky way to bypass ventari bumping rules.

As for prices..I simply don't understand some sheild prices are they are bugged and don't work properly..making the sorta crap...and although dino crap might be rare..it's still crap.

Ariena Najea

Ariena Najea

Silence and Motion

Join Date: Jul 2006

Buffalo NY

New Horizon [NH]

Quote:
Originally Posted by Essence Snow View Post
I am of the opinion that if there is a r/b there is only 1 reason to have a s/b lower than it......extra thread bumps. Kinda of a sneaky way to bypass ventari bumping rules.

As for prices..I simply don't understand some sheild prices are they are bugged and don't work properly..making the sorta crap...and although dino crap might be rare..it's still crap.
About a year ago, I remember regularly seeing -2/-2 or -2/-3 shields be a tough sell at 80-100k, even at lower requirements. I am currently in the market for one, and the best price I have found so far for the r12 (common skin) I am looking for is 30e!

LicensedLuny

Badly Influenced

Join Date: Dec 2005

Buying Humps! (No kidding! Check my buy thread)

Hello Kitty Krewe [HKK] Forever!-ish

Quote:
Originally Posted by End View Post
The market value of an item should be considered the average between all the trades of that item. Some are bound to be higher and some are bound to be lower. And occasionally you are going to have outliers (maybe quite a few when talking about a sample size for a couple thousand trades)
Agreed - should be

But we, the playerbase as a whole, have no way to find that average. There's no single venue with actual prices recorded which the majority use. Over the years, players have tried to fill the void by spamming in game and/or creating fansites with support for trading. The result is little sub-markets with their own trends. To me, these issues of seeing prices as too high or offers too low are due to potential sellers and buyers coming from different GW trading backgrounds.

My argument is that such disagreements are guaranteed to happen in the system(s) we have to work with here, and I think it's a shame to let such disagreements upset you or spoil your own fun.


I graded your test. You get an F ... just because you're End ... and you made me want chocolate now.

cosyfiep

cosyfiep

are we there yet?

Join Date: Dec 2005

in a land far far away

guild? I am supposed to have a guild?

Rt/

yeah, Luny--I will be here to make sure things stay ON TOPIC

(and I took your test--only the wintergreen I would say wasnt merch food--good thing I dont to price check )

and me want chocolate now too

pawning jock

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Sep 2007

W/E

Quote:
Originally Posted by Elnino View Post
You pretty much had to have started (power)trading by 2007 in order to afford a lot of the items these days.

not true you can earn that kind of money in a few months...


but on the topic.. I find that if i cant get what i want for my item on guru... i am often able to get that or more for it in kamadan. it will often require patience and time but it is well worth it. It takes time to find a person who sees the same value in your item as you do.

I find that often people on guru will like an item but wont buy it unless they can get a bargain which is normal as everyone likes a bargain but then often the seller doesnt feel his/her item is worth that price and the trade will break down


lowballers occur more in kamadan than on guru where the lowballers in kamadan will offer a very low amount in hope that the seller isnt aware of his/her price. It isn't stupid as people do strike lucky.. as i have bought a q9 Heal Froggy for 100k and struck lucky there.


this isnt a very structured message but ya ^^

wilderness

wilderness

tinyurl.com/6hqar7a

Join Date: Mar 2006

We Couldn't Figure Out A Name [LMAO]

W/N

Quote:
Originally Posted by LicensedLuny View Post
Cheers,
Luny
Girl, I told you before, you crazy!

(I do appreciate the craziness)

Anyway, I know what you're trying to highlight, but these trades you mention are outliers. I think what Jimbo is getting at more is the higher-end stuff that's popping up recently with buyers getting bids of xxx ecto-xxx arms, reaching a crux point where no more bids come in, and shutting the thread down with statements like "sorry, no decent offers - keeping item!" (correct me if I'm wrong, Jimbo).

The problem as I see it lies with the expectations of sellers in the current market. People see high end items like tonics and really rare OS stuff selling thousands of ecto/hundreds of arms and they get it into their heads that their item is worth a certain amount based on the higher-end of recent trades, rather than letting the auction happen naturally and letting the item find its equilibrium within the current levels of supply and demand.

There are certain items that it's easier to gauge, items that have sold recently or are more common, but for certain items such as unconditionals or extremely limited pets or tonics, it really is about who is looking to by right now than any preconceived notion of value.

Internetuser

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Oct 2010

W/

Lurk Ventaris enough, you'll soon see it's almost always the same people bidding for things then backing out when bids get into selling range. It gets boring after a while, but as a seller these lowballers are giving you free bumps.

Free bumps are good? No? :P

David Moonbow

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: May 2006

If You Build It They Will Come

W/Rt

agree with someone above tere if you dont want low ball offers set a high enough s/b and r/b say no 1k/1e/1arm increments and get it over with down side is the free bumps u get from the low offers to staying top of page.

jimbo32

jimbo32

Site Contributor

Join Date: Aug 2008

Canada

Gentlemens Club [GC]

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by LicensedLuny View Post
Good idea for a thread! ....snipped the rest...
I love how Luny says this at the beginning and then finds fault with every single part of my opening post.

Seriously though, just to clarify, here's a few things that I couldn't give a rat's ass about (with bullet points because I know Luny loves them) :
  • Specific or individual trades
  • pricing outliers
  • the evils of generalizing about the Guru population and GW traders
  • the evils of powertraders
  • the evils of lowballers
  • free thread bumps
  • suggestions regarding how best to avoid lowballers when selling
  • Any other ridiculousness which isn't related to my point (see below)

I'm learning that I need to be as specific as possible when posting on Guru, so here's what I'd like to see in this thread:
  • Discussion relating to the differences between sellers (in general) idea of price and the actual value of items.
    1. Where do sellers generally get their ideas of item prices? Occasionally out of their asses?
    2. Where does pride enter into it? For example, "Billy" lists his Echovald Shield with a b/o of 100e, but after 3 weeks of thread bumps the bids don't go over 75k. Does that mean that the bidders are all lowballing assholes?
    3. Player wealth - I think we can all accept that some people overpay on a regular basis. How does that effect their perception of their items' value? (IE: Do they think that because they overpaid, that they should be able to recoup 100% of their investment when selling?)
  • The *apparent* increase in interest in oldschool items. Note that I'm not entirely sure that there *is* an increase in interest. But as I said in the OP, I think that there's definitely an increase in the average sellers perception of value. No idea why, so I'm curious to hear some opinions.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Rushin Roulette View Post
I see the sellers at fault for lowball offers. What is the point of a starting bid when they obviously will not accept that price (Starting bid of 1K for an obviously highend mini for example). Make the S/B in the sales thread your R/B and everything is fine.


Dont screw around for weeks on end for one measly item if you 1. dont want to sell and 2. people dont know what you are willing to sell for. This will only let the thread be abandoned by buyers because they see the OP being 5 weeks old and still nothing sold even though they have been the highest bidder for 4 of those weeks.
That's an excellent point, and I think there should really be a Ventari's rule to cover this sort of thing. It's usually high-end auction-type threads that are the worst offenders. Multiple pages of bids with none even getting *close* to the r/b. It's ridiculous and just wastes everyone's time.

Quote:
Originally Posted by wilderness View Post
I think what Jimbo is getting at more is the higher-end stuff that's popping up recently with buyers getting bids of xxx ecto-xxx arms, reaching a crux point where no more bids come in, and shutting the thread down with statements like "sorry, no decent offers - keeping item!" (correct me if I'm wrong, Jimbo).
Yup, that's part of it. I think that some high-end traders need to realize that it's no longer 2006-07 when there was a huge GW population competing for rare stuff. But it's been happening with low-end stuff recently too. Like people hanging a 20e price tag on a crap, high-req Reinforced Buckler with two non-max inherents when the shield probably should've gone straight to the merchant (note that I just made this up as an example, so anyone who has something like that in a Sell thread shouldn't feel like I'm picking on them. ).

Dark Morelia

Dark Morelia

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Oct 2006

Australia

N/

I don't even see the point in having a separate starting bid and reserve. Just state your minimum acceptable price, minimum bid increment, and a buyout if you like.
This would cut out all the BS and let everyone know where they stand.

But then again, I don't see the point of buying overpriced(imo) inherent weapons when I can get a more flexible inscribable version cheaper, so maybe I'm trying to apply logic in the wrong place

superraptors

superraptors

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: Dec 2008

W/

people should just seriously list the b/o or reserve price and stop extending auctions when not needed, if someone wants your item they will pay the reserve, i dont like to wait for auctions that linger more then a week.

you may call them lowballers but at the end of the day we are all trying to get a bargain, so if you dont like lowball offers you are better off posting a buy out or reserve price after the first bump atleast, saves everyone time.

its almost as annoying when people say 'offer' and when you do give an offer they almost in 99% of the cases reject it and when you ask how much they go spaz, such a sad case.

David Moonbow

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: May 2006

If You Build It They Will Come

W/Rt

sorry if we went off topic

hmm
according to the list players would base the prices on past trades. if i was to sell any o/s item of mine i would have nothing to relate it to from the 2006 prices to now. so a couple of searches on argos gw related threads and if i remember what i paid for them ill try to deduce what i think is a fair price but it mostly still be OP'ed and i would end up been like ah forget it ill just keep it

which is what mostly happens anyway

2nd if the player selling sets a price at a decent market price and the offers given to it is way off the market then i guess you can consider them lowballing

3rd one i think will be divided into many categories since on the availability of the item
if its o/s,rare, which u think a couple mite have then players overpaying to them will happen since its a 2-3 ppl owned item (something like seller sets the prices for these and you cant do much to argue since there wont be any weps/minis/el hench like it)

but what most ppl should grasp is that the population is on a downtrend so shouldnt expect huge offers for certain items, but there are large money still in it so who knows

ACWhammy

ACWhammy

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Dec 2009

Texas

Gold Trim Guild [gtg]

R/

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo32 View Post
Hey folks,

Do you think it's true that Guru traders (in general) are really a bunch of good-for-nothing lowballers, or is it simply that people are unwilling to accept the fact that their items aren't worth what they think?
Hi! Good thread.

If the buyers are "lowballing" it's the sellers fault for having the s/b too low. Having said that, I think the sellers realize this and only use a low s/b to generate/gauge interest and free bumps

To be honest I haven't heard much complaining on either end. And the little complaining I do hear is in my opinion, unjustified. If I set a high buyout on one of my items, and no one pays it, then that's fine - because that is what the item is worth to me - and I'd rather keep it in my inventory than part with it for anything less.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo32 View Post

My opinion is that an item is worth exactly what someone else is willing to pay for it. If an item hasn't reached the seller's r/b after weeks of thread bumps, it's probably overpriced rather than being a victim of lowballers.
I agree with this - an item is only worth as much as someone would pay for it. Sometimes people in game will ask me "Should I pay XXe for this item?" And I tell them "What's it worth to you?" Value is all relative.

If I want 100armbraces for my Fungal Wallow then that's what I want! Problem is there's 1 million people who will sell for 500g. But I love my Fungal Wallow so I'm keeping it. xD

Actually I don't own a Fungal.

WTB Fungal Wallow 100a! xD

Rushin Roulette

Rushin Roulette

Forge Runner

Join Date: Sep 2007

Right here

Ende

Quote:
Originally Posted by ACWhammy View Post
WTB Fungal Wallow 100a! xD
I just happened to have received a newly minted oldschool (uninscribable... at least I havent found any inscription slot yet) Fungal Wallow yesterday

Luny does have a good point in some parts, although I must say that you cant compare ingame trades with Guru or other sites, mainly because there are far too many variables and the userbases are too different.

You probably just had great luck with a few of those items because no one else had those particular items in their wishlist and did not know of them.

Swingline

Swingline

Forge Runner

Join Date: Sep 2010

Somewhere far away from you

The Mirror of Reason[SNOW]

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I see my fair share of optimistic sellers on guru and in kamadan. Mostly It's the same people over and over. For some reason they cannot accept the fact nobody wants to pay their asking price for that particular item. Even if you offer a price that is clearly reasonable they take offense to it like I am trying to rip them off. It's sometimes not direct like them loling me or throwing obscenities my way but you get the feeling, especially when they ignore you. Unfortunately many so called power traders have the mentality of screw you while I rub my e-peen. Greed and the human ego go hand in hand in most games with some sort of economic class hierarchy and Guild Wars in recent years has taken a top 10 spot for me with this problem. It's easy to blame problems such as these on a lack of an AH but that was never the case.

The 2 biggest games I have wasted my life on are Guild Wars and WoW so I will be comparing problems in both to each other. Ugh I know another GWs/WoW comparison but bear with me. WoW is no innocent game where egos are non-existent, they just exist in the raiding community and are all about your accomplishments. This is where Guild Wars differs from WoW greatly. Compared to WoW GWs has almost no endgame. Because of WoWs endgame content there exists almost no concern for economic superiority because everyone is too busy working with their guild to accomplish a very organized and difficult feat. Once you finish the story in Guild Wars it's off to do the dungeons and those can be done in a week. Players have gotten so bored that the last thing to do is accumulate wealth... by any means possible for some. This is where I believe Guild Wars' trading problems stem from more than the lack of an AH.

The sad thing is Guild Wars itself encourages this with or without the developers intentions. With people getting max gear so early after playing the game there's nothing to work for besides c-space pve titles and high priced aesthetics. Super rare old school perfects and the Asian minis come to mind. This is why I really like the direction Guild Wars 2 went with being a MMO and why I may hate it for having the same flaws Anet still hasn't learned from. I can only pray they did.

carnage-runner

carnage-runner

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Aug 2006

Canada, B.C. Vancouver. aka.. amazing.

[Sith]

W/Me

I've seen my fair share of lowballers. Not only that, but I've seen considerably more lowballers on guru and in kama than optimistic sellers. I believe that is called a coincidence? PS. Apparently GW2 is not going to be even remotely close to GW1 with regards to highend/lowend weapons. Don't quote me, but that's what I've heard from a few sources.

Swingline

Swingline

Forge Runner

Join Date: Sep 2010

Somewhere far away from you

The Mirror of Reason[SNOW]

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by carnage-runner View Post
I've seen my fair share of lowballers. Not only that, but I've seen considerably more lowballers on guru and in kama than optimistic sellers. I believe that is called a coincidence?
Whats your definition of a lowballer? Someone who starts the bidding but leaves once the bids gets higher? Then, to those sellers, I suggest posting a higher s/b than 1g like I see all the time. If your items haven't sold in months then I suggest lowering your price. If your not willing to accept the actual price of your item then don't keep on selling it for months like its going to turn into a brick of gold. That ever so rarely happens. If you made a bad trade but are to stubborn to cut your losses then your just cheating yourself out of more money.

***mod edit--removed unnecessary link--mod edit***

LicensedLuny

Badly Influenced

Join Date: Dec 2005

Buying Humps! (No kidding! Check my buy thread)

Hello Kitty Krewe [HKK] Forever!-ish

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo32 View Post
I love how Luny says this at the beginning and then finds fault with every single part of my opening post.
Not true! I had no objections whatsoever to "Hey folks" Thank you for the clarification though ... and +1 internet point for a spectacular use of bullet lists!


Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo32 View Post
I'm learning that I need to be as specific as possible when posting on Guru, so here's what I'd like to see in this thread:
  • Discussion relating to the differences between sellers (in general) idea of price and the actual value of items.
    1. Where do sellers generally get their ideas of item prices? Occasionally out of their asses?
    2. Where does pride enter into it? For example, "Billy" lists his Echovald Shield with a b/o of 100e, but after 3 weeks of thread bumps the bids don't go over 75k. Does that mean that the bidders are all lowballing assholes?
    3. Player wealth - I think we can all accept that some people overpay on a regular basis. How does that effect their perception of their items' value? (IE: Do they think that because they overpaid, that they should be able to recoup 100% of their investment when selling?)
  • The *apparent* increase in interest in oldschool items. Note that I'm not entirely sure that there *is* an increase in interest. But as I said in the OP, I think that there's definitely an increase in the average sellers perception of value. No idea why, so I'm curious to hear some opinions.
Ok, well I need to preface all this by explaining that I don't consider myself a "powertrader" at all, but I unusually wind up a "trader" when I'm active in GW much at all. Of my friends who do/have considered themselves "traders" or "powertraders," they often tell me that I'm not the same thing, not at all - "junk lover" or its variations are the terms they use for me. Most everything I buy starts out with me wanting it for some reason or another. Most everything I sell is because it's something I no longer want or need ... either a new drop or an old purchase which I've changed my mind about keeping.

Now I'll let folks decide if that leaves me disqualified to offer a meaningful answer to your discussion questions, but I'll answer them here anyway.
  1. Where do sellers generally get their ideas of item prices? Occasionally out of their asses?

    For most of the things I sell, I get prices from various combinations of,
    • my own trade histories and my own observations about how common it is to see an item like mine offered for sale vs. how common it is to see folks wanting to buy an item like mine, (For the more unusual items, I also consider how long I'm willing to use a precious inventory slot while waiting to sell the thing.)
    • what information on final prices I can find from searching,
    • what information and insight I can get from a handful of trusted friends when I ask their opinions or recent experiences with something like my item. Of my list of such folks, I think I have a pretty good feel for their approaches to trading. So I use those impressions to consider how I use their specific PC guesses for the item in question. If the guess comes from a "sell it cheap, sell it fast"-minded friend, I might consider holding out for more. If the guess comes froms a friend with experience and history holding out for "the right buyers," I might consider accepting a lower price if I'm not willing to wait around as long as they are. Of course, this only applies to items that aren't easily found all over the place.
    • what information and insight I can get from anyone willing to respond to my PC queries, either on a thread here or in game.

    Now, it seems like the question may be more along the lines of, "Where do those sellers get their prices?" and less, "Where do you, a seller, get your prices?"

    I'm not them, so I can't really say. I would like to suggest another consideration when determining how nuts they are, though.

    I've seen two cases/explanations where the answer to the implied question is not as easy as, "He pulled that number out of his ass!"
    1. He may very well get those prices. Just because no one who can and does post on Guru offers his price, does not mean there is no player who can and does read Guru who may be willing. I think it's each user's choice how to use the resources we have to advertise their trading intentions. There are LOTS of players who have things they'll sell when the opportunity presents itself. Often, for the higher price and/or rarer stuff, the best opportunity comes when a buyer makes themselves known. Some of those sell threads which seem to vex folks around here so much may be a case of one collector of hard-to-find stuff just trying to keep his name out there in the memories of other collectors of hard-to-find stuff. To me, that's not the same as "showing off."
      ---------------------------
    2. Some rare, hard-to-find thing a seller is just desperate for has become available to buy from another player. He wants it bad enough that he's willing to sell off some of his own collection of rare, hard-to-find things in order to raise funds. He lists the whole set for offers to get a feel for what he can sell for a decent price now in order to raise the necessary funds ASAP.
    To me, neither of the above cases are inherently wrong or even necessarily crummy tactics. My only objection to either of those situations would be the seller in question misleading potential buyers about his intentions.

    One example - I've been interested in buying a 16/8 command Scarabshell Aegis for over two years now. It's been on my buy thread the entire time. A gold one came up for sale in an emergency-fund-collecting thread like the second case I mentioned above. I spoke with the OP, learned his intentions, and so did wind up posting bids. It may not have been my first posted offer, but I pretty quickly went ahead and posted my max offer, the amount I was willing to pay to get that shield in my collection. Another user was willing to pay more, and he wound up winning it.

    Not long after that, the guy who outbid me (or at least one of them) contacted me offering the shield when he saw it on my buy thread. I told him that the most I was willing to pay for one was the same as my last offer on the other guy's thread, clearly less than he paid in the first place.

    Was that scummy and/or price-out-of-his-ass of the second guy? No! Not at all! He realized how unusual it is to find one of those shields for sale; he paid a price he felt was worth it; he found an interested buyer, me, and checked to see what price they'd feel was worth it. He wasn't rude or unpleasant, so I have no problems with anything he did.
    ---------------------------
  2. "Where does pride enter into it? For example, "Billy" lists his Echovald Shield with a b/o of 100e, but after 3 weeks of thread bumps the bids don't go over 75k. Does that mean that the bidders are all lowballing assholes?"

    The example above seems rather exaggerated in terms of cases worth discussing. Obviously in that case Billy is probably full of it. But consider in the less extreme cases: it could be "evil lowballers;" it could be "overpriced;" it could simply be Billy's shield isn't getting attention from the really motivated buyers with a lot invested in collecting shields like his.

    In terms of pride, it doesn't really enter into it for me at all, since I don't ever list anything for sale that I'm not ready and willing to sell. For me, that's either listing something with
    • a buyout target (or close to it) that I pick ahead of time from the sources mentioned above (in which case I list/offer the item with my price stated and do what I can to let folks know they're welcome to get in touch with me if they want to haggle)
    • a reserve/starting bid that I state up front. I resort to using such an approach only when I honestly cannot figure a buyout to begin with. (In those cases, I list it with the "s/b" at whatever the minimum I'm willing to accept is and then simply see who's the most interested by letting the high bid win. If it gets into a really obvious and ridiculous bid war between two collectors with no one else interested, I'm more likely to give up on "high bid wins" and make them play rock/paper/scissors to see who gets to keep it for some number we all agree is a "fair price," especially when I already know both interested parties to be enjoyable folks.)
    ---------------------------
  3. "Player wealth - I think we can all accept that some people overpay on a regular basis. How does that effect their perception of their items' value? (IE: Do they think that because they overpaid, that they should be able to recoup 100% of their investment when selling?)"

    Well, if I decide to sell something that I know I overpaid for and did so intentionally (or if the market has clearly changed since I bought it,) then no, I don't expect to recover my investment.

    If I decide to sell something that I feel I bought at a fair price in the first place and I don't see indication (by my own price checking methods above) that the fair price is lower now, then I will expect or at least try to get back my investment, sure! If the fair market price has increased since I bought the thing, then I'll try to get whatever that is today, too.

    If I decided to sell "the Crude to curse Onis with" (I never would, never ever! I only mention it as an example.) I would not expect anyone else to pay what I paid for it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo32
That's an excellent point, and I think there should really be a Ventari's rule to cover this sort of thing. It's usually high-end auction-type threads that are the worst offenders. Multiple pages of bids with none even getting *close* to the r/b. It's ridiculous and just wastes everyone's time.
I will agree with everything you just said above except the part about making it a rule! I absolutely disagree with making it a rule which requires enforcement.
  • There are plenty of venues already where listings and bids are binding. Ventari's has never been one of them, and I think to make it such would unnecessarily remove an option from some folks' games.
    ---------------------------
  • I don't like those style threads any more than it seems you do - not at all! So I don't usually reward them with a bump posting my offers. Instead, I either move on to the next thread or PM the OP asking their ideas on actual price and see if we can work something out that way.

    If you don't like threads with 1k s/b and hidden reserves, the solution is easy and we, the users of Ventari's, can handle it ourselves - don't post in those threads!

    As a player and a trader, I put inestimably more value on concepts like dealing straight with folks, being civil, and letting people make their own impressions on me than I do on pink goo and pixels. I know it doesn't matter to some, that's fine, but to my way of looking at it both the sellers whining about lowballers and the buyers whining about overpricing are doing me a favor! They're saving me the trouble of having to find out first hand that I don't want to play a video game with these people! How thoughtful!

    So, is it OK for people put up Ventari's threads with tons of shiny shit and no price info other than 1k s/b? To me, yeah, it's ok. And it's OK if I intentionally avoid helping them out by not bidding or PMing my bids, too.

    I see absolutely no reason to legislate something we should each be perfectly capable of deciding for ourselves, when the possible decisions one of us could make do not have a reasonable likelihood of impacting the rest of us in a very negative way.
    ---------------------------
  • Finally, Ventari's mods (who are unpaid volunteers for those who didn't know) already have plenty of rules to enforce as it is. The rules are there and enforced in order to make this place useful to us, the users. As a mod, the existing rules about pricing are already enough of a pain to enforce. But those people do their best to enforce them for the users' sake.

    If you think that nasty mod was being mean/powerhungry/a nazi/etc. by not letting you sell your r9 15^50 inherent Shortbow in a High End thread then think again! I used to mod around here. The single most onerous rule to enforce was the 100k split between low and high end! Just imagine how much fun it is to be tasked with playing PC-bitch to anyone and everyone who lists a thread selling anything at all! There was nothing I loathed so much as a thread with borderline 100k-value items listed for 1k starting bids and no buyouts or reserves. The next least favorite were the threads with clearly <100k items listed for painfully overly optimistic prices. Take my word for it - you do not want to have to enforce rules about pricing around here! I signed up to mod in the first place feeling like I owed something back for having the wonderful resource that is Ventari's. I knew it wouldn't be fun cleaning up non-bids and multiple threads, but I figured it was like helping out with the chores after dinner. None of the tasks and the effort involved in modding Ventari's surprised me except what a friggin' pain the 100k rule was to enforce (in the fair, objective, and even way which all rules are enforced.) It's also the rule whose enforcement led to the most time spent answering complaints - oh such a fun task to do in a courteous and professional manner, remembering that you're writing as a representative of more than just your own opinions!
    I would bet cash money that the mods are not at all interested in having yet another "reasonable value" rule to enforce!
    (Ok, yeah - touched a nerve there, I admit it. #%@%^$%#^ $#%$#^%^ "oldschool" Shortbow $#$^$%^%^)




Alright, still reading? Nope, ok then I can just leave this here at the bottom.

Regarding the price tags on stuff right now that seem to be so high just because they're "oldschool" (read "not inscribable") has to do with market demand. It honestly does seem like more players, active now, are interested in and put a premium on having inherent gear.

A couple years ago, it didn't seem that way to me, not at all. I kept noticing some folks replying to PC threads giving prices based on common things being "oldschool." I hadn't seen the demand and interest around Kama or Guru at the time to lead me to believe that alone was really still so important, so I started this Trader's Outpost thread back in June 2010 asking about it. The consensus seemed to be that, at that point, the "oldschool" alone really didn't justify higher prices due to demand. From what I've seen around here lately, I would say there may very well be enough increased demand for the higher price tags.


EDIT
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rushin Roulette View Post
Luny does have a good point in some parts, although I must say that you cant compare ingame trades with Guru or other sites, mainly because there are far too many variables and the userbases are too different.
That was my point though - given the variations between trading venues are in this game, I say it's incredibly hard to judge ahead of time what the price may be for something not easily reproduced, like inherent gear - especially the wands, foci and shields with dual mods.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rushin Roulette
You probably just had great luck with a few of those items because no one else had those particular items in their wishlist and did not know of them.
Oh, I'm sure that was the case with those examples of the staff, the axe and the WG scythe, absolutely! I mentioned those trying to demonstrate how a player new to trading in such items could easily get the wrong idea of "fair market value" based on what they see in trade chat - another source of players' forming very different ideas about prices.
/EDIT

Cheers,
Luny

Did you like my bullet lists? I had to step-up my game and use some numbered ones. Can't let jimbo win!

"My shortbow is so 100k! It's oldschool! Put my thread back!" Gah, memories of modding the 100k rules still make me want to punch things!

Essence Snow

Essence Snow

Unbridled Enthusiasm!

Join Date: Nov 2009

EST

DPR

Quote:
Originally Posted by LicensedLuny View Post
---------------------------[*]Finally, Ventari's mods (who are unpaid volunteers for those who didn't know) already have plenty of rules to enforce as it is. The rules are there and enforced in order to make this place useful to us, the users. As a mod, the existing rules about pricing are already enough of a pain to enforce. But those people do their best to enforce them for the users' sake.

If you think that nasty mod was being mean/powerhungry/a nazi/etc. by not letting you sell your r9 15^50 inherent Shortbow in a High End thread then think again! I used to mod around here. The single most onerous rule to enforce was the 100k split between low and high end! Just imagine how much fun it is to be tasked with playing PC-bitch to anyone and everyone who lists a thread selling anything at all! There was nothing I loathed so much as a thread with borderline 100k-value items listed for 1k starting bids and no buyouts or reserves. The next least favorite were the threads with clearly <100k items listed for painfully overly optimistic prices. Take my word for it - you do not want to have to enforce rules about pricing around here! I signed up to mod in the first place feeling like I owed something back for having the wonderful resource that is Ventari's. I knew it wouldn't be fun cleaning up non-bids and multiple threads, but I figured it was like helping out with the chores after dinner. None of the tasks and the effort involved in modding Ventari's surprised me except what a friggin' pain the 100k rule was to enforce (in the fair, objective, and even way which all rules are enforced.) It's also the rule whose enforcement led to the most time spent answering complaints - oh such a fun task to do in a courteous and professional manner, remembering that you're writing as a representative of more than just your own opinions!
I would bet cash money that the mods are not at all interested in having yet another "reasonable value" rule to enforce!
(Ok, yeah - touched a nerve there, I admit it. #%@%^$%#^ $#%$#^%^ "oldschool" Shortbow $#$^$%^%^)
[/list]
As a former Venturi mod myself I cannot agree more. The very generous mods we have there, have more than enough to deal with as is. My admiration goes to Cosy for all she does.

carnage-runner

carnage-runner

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Aug 2006

Canada, B.C. Vancouver. aka.. amazing.

[Sith]

W/Me

My definition of a lowballer is someone who bids at a level that is considerably lower than the listed b/o, then gives you crap about it when you don't sell it. If an item is rare, and you have it, it's your decision to sell at w/e price you want. If I'm unable to sell something for a while, it doesn't bother me. Some people want to sell things as fast as possible, all the power to them. Those people are perfect targets for getting a great deal. Other people, such as myself, don't care about how long it takes. We are bad people to get great deals from.

Stu has been on guru selling things for long enough that if he puts a price down, it's for a good reason. I'm going to trust his judgement 9/10 times. So that's a terrible example, as many people here will give him the benefit of the doubt in almost any case.

P.S. This goes back to that zod sword which BTW I ended up selling for 175e in Kama. So.. Yea? I wait because eventually I get what I ask for because the price isn't wholey unreasonable and there is a market for some items still.

Surge goes pre

Surge goes pre

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Mar 2008

I would never play off Occupy Wall St. for my guild name

We Are the 1 Percent

Me/

I was talking to a guildy about this and it is Along the same lines, but slighty different, i find it very frustrating.

When you see someone in kammadon selling an item and you pm them: "hey what you want for xx item?" (xx item I have found is anything from a simple 20/20 sword mod to high end minis and everything in between). The response 95% of the time is one word, "offer". I have found that in almost all the cases of this offer, I offer some price and for low end items, I get essentially "lol this is worth way more." Or for high end, my c/o (probably fake) is way more. Then I ask, see you had some idea, why didn't you just tell me a price? You have to have one in mind if you are selling your item, and most of the time I get no response.

This practice leads me to believe most people doing this are in the "overcharging" boat. Most likely due to the "pride" of being a powertrader when in fact they are just some wannabe.

Martin Alvito

Martin Alvito

Older Than God (1)

Join Date: Aug 2006

Clan Dethryche [dth]

Quote:
Originally Posted by superraptors View Post
people should just seriously list the b/o or reserve price and stop extending auctions when not needed, if someone wants your item they will pay the reserve, i dont like to wait for auctions that linger more then a week.
You're misunderstanding the nature of the type of auction (first price, ie: high bidder wins) that we see on Guru and in Kamadan. As a seller, you always want to get as much of the buyer's reserve price as possible. Revealing what you'll actually take undermines achieving that goal.

Quote:
Originally Posted by superraptors View Post
its almost as annoying when people say 'offer' and when you do give an offer they almost in 99% of the cases reject it and when you ask how much they go spaz, such a sad case.
That's usually immaturity coupled with low time price. Let's face it, a junior high school or high school kid has a pretty low time price. By college there are other things you could be doing, and by the time you have kids of your own time gets real, real valuable. If you're getting griefed by some ragey individual who won't give you any information that helps both of you make a mutually satisfactory deal, odds are that you're dealing with a kid that doesn't understand the value of time yet.



The big thing that hasn't been said about item prices is that the reliability of comparison sales depends upon rarity. If the Mona Lisa went up for sale, the best experts in the world couldn't tell you more than this:

"It will sell for at least X, and how much more than X it will sell for is totally unpredictable. That will depend upon who shows up and the course of the auction."

Relatively common items have reliable price ranges, and the truly rare stuff has at best highly unpredictable pricing.

And yes, <3 the Ventari mods, because you people are crazy.

ACWhammy

ACWhammy

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Dec 2009

Texas

Gold Trim Guild [gtg]

R/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Martin Alvito View Post

odds are that you're dealing with a kid that doesn't understand the value of time yet.


Hahaha so awesome. If only it were true and we didnt have grown men/women that act like kids in this game.

superraptors

superraptors

Grotto Attendant

Join Date: Dec 2008

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Martin Alvito View Post
You're misunderstanding the nature of the type of auction (first price, ie: high bidder wins) that we see on Guru and in Kamadan. As a seller, you always want to get as much of the buyer's reserve price as possible. Revealing what you'll actually take undermines achieving that goal.



That's usually immaturity coupled with low time price. Let's face it, a junior high school or high school kid has a pretty low time price. By college there are other things you could be doing, and by the time you have kids of your own time gets real, real valuable. If you're getting griefed by some ragey individual who won't give you any information that helps both of you make a mutually satisfactory deal, odds are that you're dealing with a kid that doesn't understand the value of time yet.



The big thing that hasn't been said about item prices is that the reliability of comparison sales depends upon rarity. If the Mona Lisa went up for sale, the best experts in the world couldn't tell you more than this:

"It will sell for at least X, and how much more than X it will sell for is totally unpredictable. That will depend upon who shows up and the course of the auction."

Relatively common items have reliable price ranges, and the truly rare stuff has at best highly unpredictable pricing.

And yes, <3 the Ventari mods, because you people are crazy.
sort of but i already know what an item should go for and as a seller you should also know roughly what price you want, but then again only the rarest of items get unexpected results but thats almost 1% of all trades going around.

jimbo32

jimbo32

Site Contributor

Join Date: Aug 2008

Canada

Gentlemens Club [GC]

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Martin Alvito View Post
You're misunderstanding the nature of the type of auction (first price, ie: high bidder wins) that we see on Guru and in Kamadan. As a seller, you always want to get as much of the buyer's reserve price as possible. Revealing what you'll actually take undermines achieving that goal.
That's true, and there's certainly nothing wrong with it. But I think what superraptors meant (and he can correct me if I'm wrong) is the tendency to drag out auctions by setting a s/b which isn't even remotely close to the seller's reserve price. For instance, a 15e s/b when the seller has no intention of selling for less than, say, 200e. If, after weeks of bumping and bids, the offers haven't approached the seller's hidden reserve, who's to blame but the seller himself? Aside from maybe being frustrated himself about not reaching the reserve, the seller has also wasted the time of all of the bidders.

I've also sometimes gotten the impression (almost exclusively from high-end threads) that the seller has absolutely no intention of selling barring some ridiculous knockout offer. They're essentially using the the Sell forum as a method of PC'ing their items. That's really wasting everyone's time.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Martin Alvito View Post
The big thing that hasn't been said about item prices is that the reliability of comparison sales depends upon rarity. If the Mona Lisa went up for sale, the best experts in the world couldn't tell you more than this:

"It will sell for at least X, and how much more than X it will sell for is totally unpredictable. That will depend upon who shows up and the course of the auction."

Relatively common items have reliable price ranges, and the truly rare stuff has at best highly unpredictable pricing.
I'd agree with this as well. Truly rare stuff is extremely difficult to PC, and even if you get opinions from folks knowledgeable about such things, it's impossible to gauge interest. Something could get a consensus PC of 100e, but go bananas if a bidding war happens. It's also possible that the same item won't hit 40e if there's little interest.

I don't think relative rarity is the issue though. It's the tendency of some people to get tied to a reserve price and sit on the item(s) like they're trying to hatch an egg. At some point, don't you have to admit to yourself that you may have been a tad optimistic about the price you had in mind? It ties back in with what you said about the value you place on your own time, right? Sure, at some point in the distant, nebulous future, there might be someone who comes along that places the same value on the item that you do. Then again, maybe not.

Swingline

Swingline

Forge Runner

Join Date: Sep 2010

Somewhere far away from you

The Mirror of Reason[SNOW]

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo32 View Post
That's true, and there's certainly nothing wrong with it. But I think what superraptors meant (and he can correct me if I'm wrong) is the tendency to drag out auctions by setting a s/b which isn't even remotely close to the seller's reserve price. For instance, a 15e s/b when the seller has no intention of selling for less than, say, 200e. If, after weeks of bumping and bids, the offers haven't approached the seller's hidden reserve, who's to blame but the seller himself? Aside from maybe being frustrated himself about not reaching the reserve, the seller has also wasted the time of all of the bidders.
That low s/b is a selling technique to draw people into the auction. I started to see more and more of it when I use to be an ebay surfer before ebay became complete crap. I would see items worth thousands of dollars with a s/b of 1 cent and it would only be highly valuable items but all those items would have a r/b close to the b/o. Very close. It's almost like a form of trickery used to target the ignorant.

jimbo32

jimbo32

Site Contributor

Join Date: Aug 2008

Canada

Gentlemens Club [GC]

W/

Yeah, I've heard that there are some people who swear by it. I still think it's dumb though.

It might be fine for an auction-type thing where the seller is bound by the EULA to sell provided that the (predetermined) reserve is met. It gets people bidding and maybe increases interest, and I get that.

But Guru obviously has a different system and there's no way to enforce follow-through on trades, or force the seller to pre-set reserves.

Personally, I prefer the way GWAuctions does things - you *know* that if you're the high bidder you'll be getting the item when the auction ends. Unfortunately, that site doesn't have the population that Guru does, and it's 95% low-end stuff. Someone pointed out recently that Curse should license GWAuctions' software for use on Guru Auctions. Y'know, since Guru Auctions is complete dogshit.

Swingline

Swingline

Forge Runner

Join Date: Sep 2010

Somewhere far away from you

The Mirror of Reason[SNOW]

W/

I have not been on GWauctions in a long time but last time I was there it looked like a good place to buy low end items. Unfortunately the sites design looks unattractive and trust me that matters. I was also was very reluctant to use the site considering the failure that is the Guru AH. However the site would end up just like the Guru AH and Sell forums with high end items. If people don't get the price they want they will just keep the item because money>reputation when they can make a new account. Again Anet should have put the work into an AH and it could have been done, but chose to abandon it for GW2 because GW1 is their sickly first born with one foot in the grave.

Showtime

Showtime

Forge Runner

Join Date: Sep 2005

WTB Q9+5e Bows/Q8 14^50 Weapons

R/P

Ever think that maybe there just aren't many end buyers left in game? That it's just traders buying to resell... Heck even when we are buying for our own use, we'll pay a bit more, but are still trying to get a deal.

IMO the value of an item isn't simply what someone is willing to pay. Uneducated buyers and resellers generally won't give full value. You need 1 serious buyer or a couple of people to get around what it's worth. Get 2 or more aggressive buyers and that's when you may get more than what it's worth.