Confirmed Mini Polar Bears

FalconDance

FalconDance

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Sep 2005

...deep within the sylvan splendor...

Order of the Migrating Coconuts [ALBA]

Count: seriously, I've lost count. 200+ the first few days, tapering off and not many the last couple days
Dungeon: Strength of Snow mostly
MPB: none

Husband has been doing Heart of Snow (or whatever the other one is called) mostly - a LOT more than I'm playing! - and no MPB for him, either. Between us both and two dungeons, we've easily done approaching a thousand runs (actually, we both fight the dungeon not "run" it), I'd estimate, and no little fella to call our own .

KIDGOOCH

KIDGOOCH

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Apr 2006

MD

R/Mo

Using a ranger doing Straight to the Heart quest, 50+ runs no mpb.
But, on a side note did hit 3 year birthday day after Chrismas and got a Rabbit.

tmakinen

tmakinen

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Nov 2005

www.mybearfriend.net

Servants of Fortuna [SoF]

E/

Final count 256 rounds and no bear. Decided to stop on a nice, round number and give my wrist some well deserved relief. Since I didn't believe for a second that doubling or quadrupling the effort would bring home the bacon I farmed in a leisurely pace and with one account only and I'm sincerely happy that I could resist the temptation to do 1000+ rounds.

Oh well, I'd have given away the damned mini anyway

A11Eur0

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2005

W/

I found that farming vaettir got me more items per unit time than doing that quest over and over again, and I wasn't going to let the MPB chance draw me back in. I did 2 days of SoS farming then called it quits.

The Real Avalon

The Real Avalon

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jun 2006

Belgium, Ostend.

Mo/A

after 550 runs I decided to call it quits

30 stacks of ccs seems enough without an accompanying MPB

Yawgmoth

Yawgmoth

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Apr 2005

Hit my 350th run today, easy to count eating 1 cupcake per run, still no bear.
Planning at least 100 more runs in last 2 days.

mrseasonalt

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Jul 2008

ecto

E/

havent done it much bout 250 runs since the event started nuttin but i was wondering if the mobs that spawn in the zone have something to do with what drops because i noticed that in 2 runs when the snowmen were the same spawns the drops were the same if some1 wants to look into this thatd be great b4 the event runs outzzzzz

Parson Brown

Parson Brown

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Apr 2006

In ur base...

The one true [Hope]

E/

Lost count of runs, but have 405 green canes (counting present trade-ins) if that helps... no bear

isildorbiafra

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Aug 2007

The Netherlands

W/

did another 30 runs today over different charcters. Still no MPB...but i'm not giving up just yet. Tomorrow is a new day!

Khazad Guard

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jul 2007

Australia

No Loitering In The Guild [Hall]

E/

Quote:
Originally Posted by mrseasonalt View Post
havent done it much bout 250 runs since the event started nuttin but i was wondering if the mobs that spawn in the zone have something to do with what drops because i noticed that in 2 runs when the snowmen were the same spawns the drops were the same if some1 wants to look into this thatd be great b4 the event runs outzzzzz
The Wintersday Chest always drops one Snowman Summoner, Fruticake, Wintergeeen Candy Cane, and Spiked Eggnog. IIRC it's (anti clockwise from the top [above chest]) Fruitcake > Snowman Summoner > Wintergreen Candy Cane > Spiked Eggnog.

The fifth drop is out of an Eggnog, Fruitcake, Peppermint Candy Cane, Rainbow Candy Cane, Spiked Eggnog, Wintergreen Candy Cane, Yuletide Tonic or a Miniature Polar Bear and is always the drop directly infront of the chest.

As for the groups, the groups until the end are different, but the Grentch waves seem to be comprised of the exact same composition from what I've seen.

Hailfall

Hailfall

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Aug 2005

Germany

Phantom Commando

N/

Well over 250 runs now and still no bear.. but appearantly a guildie of mine did get one after only a few runs :\

(and then the mean part.. making a thread on the forum saying 'For Shala' and then a screenshot of the bear... nice a screenshot of a polarbear..)

*annoyed*

Lystra

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Feb 2008

[OHX]Experientia Docet

Rt/

So up to post#253, I've updated post#1 with all the relevant data up to this point.

Everyone have a look. More information will help. The event probably end tomorrow at 12PM pst. If anyone has any final numbers to post, please do so.

Collected Statistics
Confirmed Bears(Screenshot) 11
Confirmed Bears(No Screeny) 3
Overall Runs(in this Thread) 21854
Note:I've excluded dubvious second hand reports or runs and and MPB drop's.

Data included up to post#253. If you need update your run count or post screenshot, please do so in a new reply. I have the data organized per user and can simply update it on my end but unless it is post#254 or later, the information will not be included in my spreadsheet.

TY all for your contributions and let's keep em coming for those of you that are farming till the event is over.

If all you statistics gurus want specific information per user post, I can upload my spreadsheet or you can troll through this thread for it(which was less fun than anticipated)

Hailfall

Hailfall

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Aug 2005

Germany

Phantom Commando

N/

Amount of runs: 350
MPB: 0
CC shards: 13 stacks

-_-

And in addition to my last post, it wasnt my guildie who got the mpb but an allymember -_-

Ewa Kirch

Academy Page

Join Date: Jun 2006

Europe

N/Mo

Amount of Runs: 480
MPB: 0

hoyce

hoyce

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Jun 2008

The increased quantity of holiday items will;
a] do nothing
b] Hyper inflate the economy
c] Perish to hungry heroes
d] Deflate the economy

Minami

Minami

Site Contributor

Join Date: Jul 2008

Dallas, TX. USA

Not in any guild at the moment

N/

approximately 600 runs
no mini polar bear

>_<

I pwnd U

I pwnd U

God of Spammers

Join Date: Oct 2005

in the middle of a burning cornfield...

Scars Meadows [SMS] (Officer)

I did 350+ runs and yielded 0 MPB, but I got like 15-20 stacks or more of CCS. Turned those into presents to get a TON of Wintersday Items to work on titles.

Fates

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Jul 2005

Kanuckistan

Mirror of Reason [SNOW]

R/

Over 400 runs, no bear.

Made over 600k selling the snowmen and eggnog, kept the sweets.

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

Done around 100+ runs, I have officially given up on this MPB. If I can't get it this year, i'll do it in 09 wintersday. It's not a bad haul for me. I have now close to a stack of everythings, one stack of wintersday gifts. Might as well use them to work on my titles.

Speaking of which, think on Canthan New Years, the celestial mini pet will be harder to get compared to MPB?

JackMcDaniel

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Dec 2005

W/Mo

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sir Skullcrasher View Post
Done around 100+ runs, I have officially given up on this MPB.
Don't give up! I also farmed this cute pet for days. 20 minutes ago the MPB dropped for me:



thral

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: May 2007

W/

O_O Over 200 runs, still no bear. For some reason i think by the time the bear will drop for me everyone will have one.

BenjZee

BenjZee

Forge Runner

Join Date: Dec 2006

The Overacheivers [Club]

Mo/

not long left people, i wish you all good luck

Mittens

Pre-Searing Cadet

Join Date: Jun 2008

E/

I've done around 700-1000 runs, hoping this last half hour will let me get one :/

Fril Estelin

Fril Estelin

So Serious...

Join Date: Jan 2007

London

Nerfs Are [WHAK]

E/

This thread reminded me of the one on "drop rates". I'm wondering if it's possible that instead of a "standard" drop rate (i.e., each run will run a dice with very low probability), there's instead a "lottery" system where only one MPB drops, say, every hour or 10 hours.

200 runs for me, no MPB but I'm still dodging snowballs quite well .

EDIT: Rift Warden is gone while I had the SoS rewards window opened, didn't get the rewards, very funny . See you next year Wintersday!

Riot Narita

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Apr 2007

330 runs by the end, no bear. Tons of Wintersday goodies though.

Mister_Smiley

Mister_Smiley

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Mar 2006

I kinda lost count of how many runs, i know its prob 200+, lots of goodies, but no MPB, oh well, if i'm still around next year and it is, i might go for it. Till then Gratz to everyone that was lucky to get one.

Tramp

Tramp

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jan 2008

Mo/

637 runs according to my summoner count... zero bears... i be the suxor... anet must hate me

Emunator

Emunator

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Dec 2006

DVDF

Mo/E

1000+ runs, no polar bear and event is over

Shayne Hawke

Shayne Hawke

Departed from Tyria

Join Date: May 2007

Clan Dethryche [dth]

R/

223 successful runs, no bear. Fortunately, I climbed about a thousand points in my Sweet Tooth track and looted enough drinks and party items to make the rest of the distance in my Sweet Tooth and Drunkard tracks.

lilDeath

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Sep 2006

Treehouse #1

W/

403 runs = NO effing bear!!!

HOWEVER

403 runs = 1621 wintersday gifts = 973 snowmen + 185 yuletides + 775 spiked 'nogs + 658 eggnogs + 733 wintergreens + 229 rainbows + 259 peppermints + 982 fruitcakes

??iljo

??iljo

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jan 2006

N/

Dont know how many runs,7 stacks and 85 presents.

No mini.

Gonna still have to farm for those last titles.

Yang Whirlwind

Yang Whirlwind

~ Retired ~

Join Date: Nov 2005

Copenhagen, Denmark (GMT +1)

E/

No bear for me in a couple of hundred runs - don't mind, didn't expect one.

stargazrso

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Feb 2006

Minnesota USA

Braveheart World Xi [any]

R/

over 200 (Lost count) runs
5/6 of them run in "strength of snow"
1055 wintersday presents -> posted result in Wiki

How many Frelling Mini polar bears dropped this year???
How many are actually and currently in GW?
Of course I didn't get mine. (sad) ROFL gone insane (j/k)

Slabby

Slabby

Forge Runner

Join Date: Feb 2006

Belgium

[SCAR]

A rough estimate from my side would say ~200ish MPB's dropped.

Firestone

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Mar 2006

Singapore

POEA

Mo/N

about 200+ runs and no bear

anet should get a charcoal in their stockings

never mind scratch that... charcoal is too expensive..
1 wood plank is better

honestly they should up the drop rate or put it inside the winter gifts like what they did for the lunar new year celebration

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

I don't know if A-Net should have done the same way Blizzard did for their mini polar bear. Blizzard actually gave away the mini polar bear as a celebration for their 4th years online. I thought that was nice of them to give us players something for sticking around 4 years. (even thought we pay them monthly fee)

Well, hopefully next years wintersday, the drop-rate might be a little bit better.

Steph Woodland

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Jan 2008

ViP

Mo/

well 533 runs till the last min no polar bear but it was pretty fun opening the chests and the excitment of maybe...

did it for the party/sweet/drunkard omg this quest helped a lot

Death Heavens

Death Heavens

Academy Page

Join Date: Mar 2006

CT, USA

Defenders of the North [EYE]

N/

Useless, 250+ runes and no bear. Same frikking mess as last year or worse. Will they ever learn?
What exactly is the purpose of keeping this mini so rare anyways???
Does it give you unlimited powers? energy? health? No?????
Then why the heck keep it so out of reach for players?!?!?!?
I cant believe I have to put with this crap again, I said I would not be here this wintersday last year, well I lied. I am still here, but in what capacity.... I am just farming stuff for my HOM that I may or may not use.
Huge screwup again Anet, I had hoped you learned your lesson last year, not quite...

SerenitySilverstar

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: May 2006

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sir Skullcrasher View Post
I don't know if A-Net should have done the same way Blizzard did for their mini polar bear. Blizzard actually gave away the mini polar bear as a celebration for their 4th years online. I thought that was nice of them to give us players something for sticking around 4 years. (even thought we pay them monthly fee)
O.M.G! They should give away mini pets for birthday presents! What an amazing idea!

On the runs front - I think it did about 200-300 runs. No Polar Bear, but lots of goodies, and pleased to rack up enough Spiked Nogs to finish off Drunkard. Hic!

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

I don't get why they only removed the rift warden and the NPC that takes you to the snowball arena. Yet they haven't taken down the decoration yet.