Confirmed Mini Polar Bears

Rexion

Rexion

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Aug 2007

[Luck]

E/

101 runs. no luck yet

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

20th run.. nothing yet! Still got lot of time left before the event ends. Hopefully I can get around couple hundred tries before giving up on this!

I pwnd U

I pwnd U

God of Spammers

Join Date: Oct 2005

in the middle of a burning cornfield...

Scars Meadows [SMS] (Officer)

300+ Runs, no mbp but a ton of CCS.

JustJasmine

JustJasmine

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Dec 2008

Komma Tong

E/Me

I am now on run #521 -- 1.5 mil on my account from selling everything, but still no MPB to add to my collection of babies. There is a Polar Bear out there with my name on it, I just know it!

warrior running

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2008

The Cape Is A Lie[Trim]

W/E

the polar bear was totally random i did over 500+ runs and got nothing while a guildie(alastor) did 10 runs and got 1

hellknight17

hellknight17

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Oct 2005

AZ

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by warrior running View Post
the polar bear was totally random i did over 500+ runs and got nothing while a guildie(alastor) did 10 runs and got 1
Maybe the Anet Santa knows who has been naughty or who has been nice.

About 200 runs and nothing.

texeasons

Academy Page

Join Date: Jan 2007

LTD

E/Me

About 275+ runs no bear . But I won't give up hope yet. Still got a few days left. Tons of holiday goodies and shards though.

??iljo

??iljo

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jan 2006

N/

Polar bear farming humans

Rather old article,but for some reason some newspapers and portals chose to put it on today.

btw still no bear

mage767

mage767

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Oct 2006

USA

LOVE

Me/E

Quote:
Originally Posted by Šiljo View Post
Polar bear farming humans

Rather old article,but for some reason some newspapers and portals chose to put it on today.

btw still no bear

Nice article, thanks

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

Well at least IDS farming was easier compared to this. Did 3 more runs last night before i head to bed, still nothing. But I already now have two stack of CCS.

Hengis

Hengis

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Apr 2006

London

Better Than Life (BTL)

R/

I had previously over estimated how many runs I had done.. but a simple count of snowman summoners says I have now done 101 runs.

Of course I still have no mini polar bear, but I have collected 1600 candy cane shards and a ton of other items, and worked on my sweet tooth and drunkard titles in the process :-)

TheHaxor

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Mar 2007

two

W/N

I hear that after running the quest 500 times the doors open up revealing a new chamber. In this new chamber you are warned that the "Polar Bear is a lie."

Rexion

Rexion

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Aug 2007

[Luck]

E/

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheHaxor View Post
I hear that after running the quest 500 times the doors open up revealing a new chamber. In this new chamber you are warned that the "Polar Bear is a lie."
I heard if your post number is divisible by 3, then you don't know what you're talking about.


127 runs. no luck yet.

JustJasmine

JustJasmine

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Dec 2008

Komma Tong

E/Me

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheHaxor View Post
I hear that after running the quest 500 times the doors open up revealing a new chamber. In this new chamber you are warned that the "Polar Bear is a lie."
OMG I must have missed that door in a fit to grab Shards! Because I passed run 500 about 88 runs ago!

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

I was wondering does having the "Lucky" or "Unlucky" title have any effect on the drop rate?

Rexion

Rexion

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Aug 2007

[Luck]

E/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sir Skullcrasher View Post
I was wondering does having the "Lucky" or "Unlucky" title have any effect on the drop rate?
It doesn't.

11.12.characters

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

Well I'm going to try mixing it up a bit. Going to farm it with my secondary account than back to my main. I'll go back and forth and see if I'm lucky enough to get one.

Aussie Boy

Aussie Boy

Alcoholic

Join Date: Mar 2007

Australia

W/

Did anyone ask if there was a set number that droped per event? like 20 50 whatever ?
I wasn't there.

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

Is it me or there are slight bugs with this quest. While defending the snowman, I would be by the door afk and noticed that a group of three grentches be standing there. They should have rush down and fight but stood there as the last of the grentches are killed and the chest got spawned. I had this happened to me twice last night. Does anyone experienced something like this?

Aussie Boy

Aussie Boy

Alcoholic

Join Date: Mar 2007

Australia

W/

I'ts a known bug about this and happens when a grenchy spawns behind the wall at the top
you can still pull them down to kill and collect ccs just not the one behind the wall.

volsung

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Nov 2006

E/

over 1 week of solid runs (lost count ages ago) and still no mpb *sob sniff sob*
Anyways i went of in a differant direction and 'adopted' a REAL polar bear instead!

http://www.wwf.org.uk/adoption/polarbearxmas/

Neiryw

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Aug 2008

Did 100+ runs, no polar bear

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

Done around 31 runs, no bear of course. But I currently have 3 stack of CCS.

Tullzinski

Tullzinski

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Mar 2006

Trying to stay out of Ryuk's Death Note

N/R

3500 CCS No MPB, try to do at least 15-20 runs a night but I do both SOS and STTH, then hit the snowball arena or run some presents in town. Straight to the Heart really great for CCS's, takes longer, but I love watching a mob of grentchies launch a barrage of snowballs at some poor snowman.

tmakinen

tmakinen

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Nov 2005

www.mybearfriend.net

Servants of Fortuna [SoF]

E/

212 rounds of SoS
15 stacks of CC shards
RSI from strafing
no bear (not that I was expecting one)
will keep farming until the show is closed

Aussie Boy

Aussie Boy

Alcoholic

Join Date: Mar 2007

Australia

W/

Snip
Ninjatek
buying tons of tickets doesn't mean you're going to win.

no but buying tons of tickets gets you better odds at winning
Still no bear for me but i'll keep running and making the odds a bit better at a "Win"


Edit forget that I just changed chars and ran a few runs on my worr/monk and guess what

I almost s##t myself


LeoX

LeoX

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Dec 2005

United Kingdom

Guildless Since 2005???

W/

I've not even got around to farming it as i said i would, maybe tomorrow, lo0l.

Sir Skullcrasher

Sir Skullcrasher

Furnace Stoker

Join Date: Jun 2005

California

15 over 50 [Rare]

W/Mo

nice job Aussie, I'll do that tonight too. I haven't thought of changing characters in between trips to see if I get lucky.

Noel Hope

Noel Hope

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Aug 2007

America

[SBP]

Mo/

Congrats Aussie Boy!

Stop The Storm

Stop The Storm

Keeping DoA Alive

Join Date: Jan 2007

England

Were In [DoA]

A/N

21 pages of confirmed polar bears lol

shame thread couldnt be kept clean and tidy for just adding your bear and approx how many runs you did.

now its just turned into a squabblefest about who deserves the bear the most

JustJasmine

JustJasmine

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Dec 2008

Komma Tong

E/Me

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aussie Boy View Post
Snip
Ninjatek
buying tons of tickets doesn't mean you're going to win.

no but buying tons of tickets gets you better odds at winning
Still no bear for me but i'll keep running and making the odds a bit better at a "Win"


Edit forget that I just changed chars and ran a few runs on my worr/monk and guess what

I almost s##t myself



Congrats! What a nice New Years eve present!

Avarre

Avarre

Bubblegum Patrol

Join Date: Dec 2005

Singapore Armed Forces

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stop The Storm View Post
21 pages of confirmed polar bears lol

shame thread couldnt be kept clean and tidy for just adding your bear and approx how many runs you did.

now its just turned into a squabblefest about who deserves the bear the most
I've been rather busy.

I do appreciate discussion, but this thread really isn't the best place for it - another thread specifically for such discussion would be fine. It just gets excessively cluttered with multiple purposes going on in this one.

Aussie Boy

Aussie Boy

Alcoholic

Join Date: Mar 2007

Australia

W/

Thanks all.
I did between 486 and 490 runs I'm pretty sure it's 488 but saying the between figure cause i was prolly tired and missed some at some point.
Runs took between 6 and 10 min
sometimes fighting everything sometimes just running to the door and letting snowmen do the fighting.
Used cupcakes only at the start of event for title and when they ran out didn't use any cons
didn't count the ccs as i was selling stacks when i got a full stack
I used the same char until today and changed to my worr/monk 3rd run got me the drop.
hope this little stats is helpful in some way.

Lystra

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Feb 2008

[OHX]Experientia Docet

Rt/

Whomever gutted this thread of all the garbage...

Thank You!!!!
Thank You!!!!
Thank You!!!!
Thank You!!!!

Seriously, it's sooooo much better now. The original purpose of this thread was to merely collect data. I had never said "here's how we use said data" but everyone seemed to think I had and thing's really got off track. While I'm certainly happy it's purged of all that, maybe we can have a constructive discussion of how to use the information(flawed as it might be) and come up with a better guestimate than others have on these forums AFTER Jan 2nd

My updated stats:
Successful Runs: 1810
Mini's 1(Run#337)

I was thinking that a set number of polar bear minis were being distributed this year or even that they stopped dropping after a certain day(the 25th fir example) until Aussie's post(Grats! btw). I haven't seen any new MPB seller's in Kam for awhile now nor have there been many recent posts anywhere on guru from new owners.

Perhaps there is a 2nd bear for me after all? I'll do some more runs between events on New Year's Day. Likely I won't hit 2000 runs but I'll get as close as I can. Good Luck to anyone out there still hunting. After the Rift Warden vanishes, I'll tally up the results and update the first post. If you have submitted a post of your MPB drop, please make sure you add a screenshot. Thanks all for your contributions.

Rexion

Rexion

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Aug 2007

[Luck]

E/

If only I had, atleast, 2 accounts. Oh well, not worth the extra $20+$30 or whatever Proph+EotN costs currently.

Khazad Guard

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jul 2007

Australia

No Loitering In The Guild [Hall]

E/

Operation: Shock and Paws
Classification: Top Secret
Priority: High
Operatives: Classified
Target: Miniature Polar Bears

Overview
Operation Shock and Paw is an operation dedicated to the swift extraction of the target/s.

Surveillance
Unknown number of attempts. Snowman Summoners offer inaccurate data as they have been purchased from arms dealers. Closest possible data will rely on Wintergreen Candy Canes. Five-hundred and seventeen [517] Wintergreen Candy Canes currently in custody. According to sources a drop rate (not including fixed drops) of 16.10% has been reported. Intel states that approximately 434 runs have been attempted (517x.839).

Tactics
Early on in the operation, three operatives were in the field running simultaneously. This was later reduced to two operatives, and finally over the last few days just one operative was in the field. Operative runs to rendezvous point Alpha and awaits for further instruction.

Objective
Confirmed one [1] Mini Polar Bear. Drop one [1], Day thirteen [13]. Operation still commencing.

Archives
Images may appear in poor quality due to command lines being ran whilst on operation (-dx8 and -noshaders). Footage has been censored due to top secret nature of this report.
Archive Footage 1
Archive Footage 2
Archive Footage 3

Cale Roughstar

Cale Roughstar

Desert Nomad

Join Date: Jan 2007

Canada

Guy In Real Life [GIRL]

W/E

I c wut u did thar.




Still running off and on with two accounts, no mini to show for yet, though I remain optimistic.

Grats to those who were so lucky to get one.

isildorbiafra

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Aug 2007

The Netherlands

W/

250 to 300 runs now since start of the event over several characters from lvl4 to lvl20 in between JQ runs. Tried everything from...clearing everything (including the hidden grench in the corner and pickingup all shards; to running to the end and hiding in the corner (and going afk for a break). Runs avaraged 6 to 10 minutes. The quest has gotten boring by now but the excitement before opening every chest keeps me going. Sadly to say no MPB for me. It is however a good way to work on my titles unless i'm not running my main character. I must say it took quite a few runs before i mastered this dungeon. I keep thinking the MPB might have been in one of those runs where i got killed.....2 seconds before the chest spawned. I'll keep trying however.

Congrats to all that persevered and got a MPB.

.....and a happy new year to all.

Canius

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Jan 2006

R/E

Will post the pic in a bit as i am on another toon farming the CCSs atm but MPB dropped on run 10 maybe...very early in....no speed boosts....not in any hurry....Will likely sell before week is out...


edit...posted

木火土金水

木火土金水

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jan 2007

Germany (GMT+1)

guildless

Me/

Typical Guildwars.
I'm inactive for about 2 month. I just logged in to get the new hats. Because of some waiting time i did about 4 (normal runs, no rush) and i got my MPB after the 2nd run.
Don't know if this is interesting for you, but i did the runs with my necro, starting the quest from KMD japanese district 1.

Bye, and have a nice year 2009.

/edit: Befor you flame me to hell, I'll give it away to a friend who is still playing the game.