Confirmed Mini Polar Bears

snodaard

snodaard

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Jun 2006

Holland

[Uni]

Mo/

ye they do ress up but the die right away anyways, the grenchies just kill them over and over and over again, I can wait there for years but it just aint work, At the end there are just like 20 grenches killing all over and over.

Hyaon

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: May 2005

P/W

Quote:
Originally Posted by snodaard View Post
ye they do ress up but the die right away anyways, the grenchies just kill them over and over and over again, I can wait there for years but it just aint work, At the end there are just like 20 grenches killing all over and over.
I run to the end, I don't lift a finger in the final fight.. takes 8 to 12 minutes..are seconds like months for you or something? I have earnt about 7 stacks of cc shards doing this so far.

Mystica

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Jun 2005

Germany

[金金金金]

Me/W

31 runs so far (divided non CC drops by 5)

no Polar

lobo fett

Pre-Searing Cadet

Join Date: Dec 2008

DeaD destruction ends at death

W/

Strength
25 or so runs ( was farming ccs)
probably selling

Klem Da Aussie

Klem Da Aussie

Academy Page

Join Date: Jul 2008

Australia

Team Everfrost [eF]

Mo/

587 runs later and on christmag b4 everyone else wakes up ive gotten one, im so glad.

Note: not selling to after christmas so dont ask, tho i gladly will show to anyone who wants to see it.


MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL!!!!!!!!!!!!

optik

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Sep 2008

Brussels , Belgium

會 < my house

Mo/

200runs SoS approx & no bear atm

NoXiFy

NoXiFy

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Aug 2007

★☆٭Ńēŵ~ŶờЯК٭☆★

The Benecia Renovatio [RenO]

Mo/Me

3 runs... 1 bear.

Someone must like me :O

If it has anything to do with it... i did it with my warrior after capping the pet. 99.9 to the 1,000,000th power says that has nothing to do with it (and i entered as a w/r). I'll be selling the pet most likely.

ryan__ryan

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Apr 2008

Canada

Vanquished Memories [VM]

Mo/

110 runs SoS no bear =[

disarm76

disarm76

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Jul 2005

Portugal

about 200 runs with 2 accounts and voilá!!

House Music

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Aug 2006

100+ runs and still no bear. But hope isn't lost.


You see, I have a theory; reverse psychology. I usually have a chat with the wintersday chest right after it spawns. The conversations usually go along the lines of, "Hello chest. I know I say this every time, but can I have a bear?"

I can only assume the chest responds promptly with a "No."

But this time is different! This time I will act like I don't want the bear! It's genius! He'll have no other option than to just give me the bear.

I also have another plan. Animal sacrifices! I'll just sacrifice a miniature polar bear at the foot of the chest and hopefully this will please the Gods. I'll let you all know of my findings.

AceeBlueEagle

AceeBlueEagle

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Dec 2005

ASH -Ashes of Humanity

R/

Quote:
Originally Posted by House Music View Post
100+ runs and still no bear. But hope isn't lost.


You see, I have a theory; reverse psychology. I usually have a chat with the wintersday chest right after it spawns. The conversations usually go along the lines of, "Hello chest. I know I say this every time, but can I have a bear?"

I can only assume the chest responds promptly with a "No."

But this time is different! This time I will act like I don't want the bear! It's genius! He'll have no other option than to just give me the bear.

I also have another plan. Animal sacrifices! I'll just sacrifice a miniature polar bear at the foot of the chest and hopefully this will please the Gods. I'll let you all know of my findings.
LOL!!!! My plan is a little different. I run it about 5-10 times a day. I would like to hold out hope that they added the minis in the final event like the Canthan New Year that one time. But everyone biatched about that too. So the developers most likely left this one alone.

The only other thing that peeved me about the event is why does the frozen ecto dude still only give the Bob Newhart pots out? Why didn't they add the new two? That would have made me a happy panda...

I pwnd U

I pwnd U

God of Spammers

Join Date: Oct 2005

in the middle of a burning cornfield...

Scars Meadows [SMS] (Officer)

I'm at around 200 runs now or so, between 150-200 runs I believe. No bear yet...

I was sucked in by the CCS... Trading them in for presents was so much win.

I pwnd U

I pwnd U

God of Spammers

Join Date: Oct 2005

in the middle of a burning cornfield...

Scars Meadows [SMS] (Officer)

Another 20+ runs in and still no bear... but over 3 stacks of CCS now. oO

tadevil

tadevil

Academy Page

Join Date: Dec 2006

Presearing Ascalon. ;D

Uhh

Mo/

Over 200 runs still no polar bear, I use 2 accounts, by the end of the event I'll have done over 1000 (I aim to do 50 - 100 per day) If I don't get one, Idc I'll have made probably 1mil in consumables by then, I've already made 500k.

Hailfall

Hailfall

Jungle Guide

Join Date: Aug 2005

Germany

Phantom Commando

N/

I'm at over 7 stacks of shards with all these runs.. I levelled my warrior from lvl 10 to lvl 20 with these runs.. and still.. no bear :\

BenjZee

BenjZee

Forge Runner

Join Date: Dec 2006

The Overacheivers [Club]

Mo/

Pro did 27 runs and afked a good 13 more...got a polar bear! im jelous eapecially as i play the game alot more

JustJasmine

JustJasmine

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Dec 2008

Komma Tong

E/Me

Quote:
Originally Posted by Klem Da Aussie View Post
it was a pain but just dont give up
Yay! I am holding on to hope! So far I did this run for 24 hours straight without sleeping when the Rift Wardens first got here. I'm an insomniac, so that's not totally crazy for me. I ignore guild wars telling me to please take a break!

So I tried for 24 hours straight, but I was a retard and didn't know I could change districts to get the quest back so for the first 24 hours I was doing that damn Straight to the Heart quest every other time!

Since then I have started keeping track of runs by the number of Snowman Summoners I have in my inventory. So far 24 hours +67 runs = No MBP love for me.

I know that there is a Polar Bear in the chest every time, she just doesn't come out because I can't get the mating ritual right since I'm a girl and all. If only there was a way to take that guy that is doing the whole show your claws and grunt and stuff. I am sure I would get it then.

Here is to hoping! Congrats to all that have gotten them so far.

_Nihilist_

_Nihilist_

Will Bull's Strike for $!

Join Date: Apr 2006

Isle of the Dead

Try wearing your Lupine Mask and using the /scare emote, at least if you have a Male Warrior. Fur, Fangs, "Claws".

GL to everyone trying, if I get one, it will probably go in my wife's minipet collection.

texeasons

Academy Page

Join Date: Jan 2007

LTD

E/Me

Almost 150 runs, Strength of Snow, if I get one I'm keeping it, none yet.

mikeydj99

mikeydj99

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Dec 2005

Seeing this thread i Devoted this last 3 days. And 4 of my cousins. on my Five accounts to a test. Between the five accounts I account for 7243 Runs.

I now currently on one accounts have 14 mpb.

Do the math

7243/14= one mpb ever 517 runs or so. This doesnt take into consideration of the accounts...

Of the five accounts just named as Accounts 1-5

Account 1 3 mpb
Account 2 2 mpb
Account 3 1 mpb
Account 4 <b>5 mpb</b>
Account 5 3 mpb

All in all, all i have concluded is. Its alot of work to get one. But keep trying. you will get one.

Shayne Hawke

Shayne Hawke

Departed from Tyria

Join Date: May 2007

Clan Dethryche [dth]

R/

Quote:
Originally Posted by mikeydj99 View Post
3 days... Five accounts... 7243 Runs.

I now currently on one accounts have 14 mpb.

Do the math

7243/14= one mpb ever 517 runs or so.
So, ~00.2% chance of getting one? That's not very hopeful, but certainly better than the "LOL, .00000000000001% CHANCE, GUIZ" posts that have been floating about.

But with five accounts over 3 days, that's ~2400 runs a day, or ~1450 runs per account with ~480 runs per day. That sounds unreal.

Lol Irish

Academy Page

Join Date: Sep 2007

The Waffle House

N/Mo

Quote:
Originally Posted by mikeydj99 View Post
Seeing this thread i Devoted this last 3 days. And 4 of my cousins. on my Five accounts to a test. Between the five accounts I account for 7243 Runs.

I now currently on one accounts have 14 mpb.

Do the math

7243/14= one mpb ever 517 runs or so. This doesnt take into consideration of the accounts...

Of the five accounts just named as Accounts 1-5

Account 1 3 mpb
Account 2 2 mpb
Account 3 1 mpb
Account 4 <b>5 mpb</b>
Account 5 3 mpb

All in all, all i have concluded is. Its alot of work to get one. But keep trying. you will get one.
mikey you are by far "the" most intelligent person on this forum. Your posts makes absolute sense and i believe them 100%! For all your desiering a Mini Polar Bear don't worry only 517 runs till your get one ( or so )! mikey i hope you have had a very good holiday. Spend much time with the family?

Codin The Great

Codin The Great

Frost Gate Guardian

Join Date: Jul 2008

You will never know!!!!

Guardians of Hades [GoH]

W/E

I want a polar bear *sniffle* *sniffle* ive done the runs no polar bears and i dont got the time to do 300+ runs

Jacks Back

Pre-Searing Cadet

Join Date: Dec 2008

W/Mo

OMG I finally got one after trying all this time and between 300 and 340 runs sorry I lost count to be accurate.
my Bear Pic
Not selling it I am transferring it to my Main account.
Keep trying everyone and good luck.
phew no more grind for me back to playing the game lol
3 years playing GW and finaly got something really great Thank you Anet

Pariah

Pariah

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: May 2005

Lords of Cabal

N/

Quote:
Originally Posted by mikeydj99 View Post
Seeing this thread i Devoted this last 3 days. And 4 of my cousins. on my Five accounts to a test. Between the five accounts I account for 7243 Runs.

I now currently on one accounts have 14 mpb.

Do the math

7243/14= one mpb ever 517 runs or so. This doesnt take into consideration of the accounts...

Of the five accounts just named as Accounts 1-5

Account 1 3 mpb
Account 2 2 mpb
Account 3 1 mpb
Account 4 <b>5 mpb</b>
Account 5 3 mpb

All in all, all i have concluded is. Its alot of work to get one. But keep trying. you will get one.
The first rule of lying is to make the lie atleast be possible. Do the math. With these numbers all 5 players would have to have made every single run within 3 minutes each, and done the 3 minute runs nonstop for 3 straight days - no bathroom - or any other break.

Gotta call complete bullshit on you.

Lystra

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Feb 2008

[OHX]Experientia Docet

Rt/

Quote:
Originally Posted by IlikeGW View Post
Stolen accounts probably...
So you think spending money on extra accounts is unthinkable? I'll tell ya what. You do your farms on one account and ill do them on 4-8 accounts and ill get 4-8 times the benefit. in the same amount of time. I prefer to make better use of my time, especially when the financial investment is negligible.

..not to mention..accusing someone of stealing accounts cause they have more that 3 just seems really silly.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mikeydj99 View Post
Seeing this thread i Devoted this last 3 days. And 4 of my cousins. on my Five accounts to a test. Between the five accounts I account for 7243 Runs.

I now currently on one accounts have 14 mpb.

Do the math

7243/14= one mpb ever 517 runs or so. This doesnt take into consideration of the accounts...

Of the five accounts just named as Accounts 1-5

Account 1 3 mpb
Account 2 2 mpb
Account 3 1 mpb
Account 4 <b>5 mpb</b>
Account 5 3 mpb

All in all, all i have concluded is. Its alot of work to get one. But keep trying. you will get one.
First off, I really appreciate the effort you guys put into this. Its exactly the kind of project I was hoping someone had the resources to accomplish.

Unfortunately, without a screenie of 14 MPB's, there is no way this claim can be substantiated and considered to be true.

We would all like to include your data in the findings. Can you upload a screenie, or even a really short video of you mousing over each bear? I dont think a possibly fake screenie is gonna satisfy alot of people here...not to mention...i've seen some really really good fakes!

The numbers seem undoable unless a person could run 5 accounts at one time, reliably, with almost no chance of failure and ppl just aren't built perfect.

How did you track your run count. Could that be off?

Even your 14 bears seems impossible cause that would mean that you had 5 EXTREMELY lucky people farming ,making the drop rate around 1:500, which we can certainly say by now is not accurrate, and provably not even close to.

It certainly seems you simply tried to fake numbers and make it sound doable but it doesn't check out.

If you want, meet me in an outpost and just show me in trade you have at least what can fit in a trade window and I'll vouch for you in forums, at least to the number of bears.

Please post your evidence. We would all like to congratulate you and thank your for your verifiable data if it is true of course.

texeasons

Academy Page

Join Date: Jan 2007

LTD

E/Me

I hate to discredit anybody, but even with using cupcakes and each of the 5 people ran 2 accounts simultaneously, you are looking at 5 min/chest. This is running to the end (2 min.) assisting in the battle (minimum 2-3 min.) go to town, rezone, take the quest and repeat. Now with 2 accounts, one sits there while the other runs. Once the 2nd gets to the end, you go to the first one and assist in battling, this just added 2 minutes to its run. Making it atleast 7 minutes, plus a minute or 2 for accepting the reward and rezoning and retaking the quest. Now you have to run to the end again, all the while account 2 is just sitting there. Now account 2 may be done battling. This still does not give you the 3 minute/chest turn around that you need. So how in the world did you manage all those runs with that short amount of time. I'm with the others, I need pics for proof. Sorry.

Lystra

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Feb 2008

[OHX]Experientia Docet

Rt/

Quote:
Originally Posted by texeasons View Post
accepting the reward and rezoning and retaking the quest.
When running multiple accounts, or even not....its just faster not to take the reward and rezone to make for better time. its 5 cc shards which just aren't worth getting imo.

I can get 8 accounts run to the end at the 9 minute mark, running in pairs. When the last 4 are done, the first 4 are just finishing up. I grab my shards on all the instances really quick, get chest, start running to reaper, abandon the quests, take the quest, go in, repeat, then go back to the 2nd set of 4 accounts.

When i manage the instances 4 at a times, i split the run into 3 sections. I take all 4 to point#1, stop 2 of them while the other 2 keep on going to point#2 where they recharge health a bit. Then I go to pair#2, repeat, and go back and forth till all 4 are at the end. I do overlay the pairs a bit too once they are definitely gonna make it the next point without concern.

That's my method. I use no cons or anything like that. My characters are all sins except 1 rit and 1 ele. Since only half of my accounts have NF, i didn't start monks to make this easier for myself. Also, I use LA for starting the quest cause Kamadan is way less convenient.

If anyone else would like to share their strategy, please do I would love to steal, oops...hear some suggestions that might make my runs faster still.

Current Run Count: 791
Got a bear on #337.none since

Hyaon

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: May 2005

P/W

Im on the 600 mark or so...no bear *eyes bleed*

Minami

Minami

Site Contributor

Join Date: Jul 2008

Dallas, TX. USA

Not in any guild at the moment

N/

I am not sure how many runs I have done exactly, but if I divide all my cc shards I got by running this quest by 9 (which is about the average amount of shards I get per run), I get 267 runs so far.
Strength of Snow quest, single account.

I have not gotten a mini polar bear yet.

I am still somewhat hopeful I'll get one of them cute critters. For the time being, I'll keep going on for a bit longer.

Hooded Doom

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: Jul 2007

IGN : Hooded Lfg Uwsc, Il H O O D E D Il

someones mad.

D/

ive done upwards of 220 runs now, although i didnt play on xmas day, xmas eve or boxing day...grind starts now i gues...

no mini bear thus far =(

Khazad Guard

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jul 2007

Australia

No Loitering In The Guild [Hall]

E/

As pointed out, 3 minute runs for 14 Polars Bears...*sigh*

I usually run two accounts (sometimes three). One of my accounts is Proph+EotN, the other two are Proph+Factions+NF+EotN. My main account is my Ele who uses Cupcakes to run through the dungeon (Sweet tooth points that I'd rather use than just spam consume) which can get to the end in 1-2mins (stupid /age fails).

I run her from Kamadan. Take the quest, enter dungeon, cupcake and run, afk (turn attention to other account) and come back to finish off the last 4 Grentchs or so. I collect all the CCS that are around, open the chest, collect the drops and map travel back to Kamadan. By map travelling back I don't get that horrid dock area spawn. Take reward, rezone and do the quest over. I take the reward for the shards (and to level the mule accounts' chars and heroes). Doesn't really bother me about the extra time needed to take the reward and respawn.

Still no bear though, but so many shards stacks in the Xunlai!

volsung

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Nov 2006

E/

day 4 kinda lost count of runs but think somewhere around 100 - 150 per day would be avg and still no bear *sob sniff sob*

ele pl

ele pl

Krytan Explorer

Join Date: Jun 2007

E/

Quote:
Originally Posted by volsung View Post
day 4 kinda lost count of runs but think somewhere around 100 - 150 per day would be avg and still no bear *sob sniff sob*
/win thread imo

241 runs (leveled 2 my pve chars from lvl 3 to 10 (since you are in Kamadan at lvl 3)) and couple of runs on my monk or ele

No bear

Incarnatum

Incarnatum

Jungle Guide

Join Date: May 2006

British Columbia

[yawn]

A/E

I got one a few hours ago.

Runs, honestly, not 100% sure. If it helps, around 1800 CC Shards in my inventory, all from that farm. Around 8-15CC Shards per run.

I just fought to the end ([email protected] of Snow), then afk'd the other 9 minutes or so. I watched Southpark, Kitchen Nightmares etc.

Sold Undedicated.

Hooray

Oh, and I can post SS if you guys want

**Edit: Nvm, I'll post it.

http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y87...2345/gw001.jpg

Minami

Minami

Site Contributor

Join Date: Jul 2008

Dallas, TX. USA

Not in any guild at the moment

N/

10 stacks of cc shards only from this quest and no bear.

I told the chest it was my rl bday on the 21st so I'd be happy for a present, but it didn't care, lol.

Hyaon

Lion's Arch Merchant

Join Date: May 2005

P/W

*puts on foil hat* 14 mpb?...another story ploy to reduce their prices maybe?..find it hard to believe too

Yamagawa

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Nov 2006

Odin's Hammer

Mo/

While it may be early to put a lower bound on the drop rate (That would have to wait for multiple CONFIRMED instances of multiple bear drops for a single player) I would think it's safe to say that the drop rate is under 1%, and probably not over 0.2%, or we'd be seeing more reports of multiple mini drops.


As for how many runs I've done so far... I have 249 Snowman summoners, so 249 runs, and 0 minis. You get one summoner per run. Never more, never less.
//Yamagawa

EroChrono

EroChrono

Wilds Pathfinder

Join Date: Aug 2006

Netherlands

[WitB]

W/

Quote:
Originally Posted by Yamagawa View Post
As for how many runs I've done so far... I have 249 Snowman summoners, so 249 runs, and 0 minis. You get one summoner per run. Never more, never less.
//Yamagawa
Actually thats not true.
You always get 1 fruitcake, 1 snowman summoner, 1 wintergreen candy cane & 1 spiked eggnog, then there's 1 random drop which can be any of the previous or peppermint cc, rainbow cc, eggnog, yuletide tonic or a MBP.

For me ~200 runs, no MBP. But I suspect all the times I died accidently or died because of spike lags or disconnected, those times I would have gotten a MBP

JustJasmine

JustJasmine

Ascalonian Squire

Join Date: Dec 2008

Komma Tong

E/Me

Quote:
Originally Posted by EroChrono View Post
Actually thats not true.
You always get 1 fruitcake, 1 snowman summoner, 1 wintergreen candy cane & 1 spiked eggnog, then there's 1 random drop which can be any of the previous or peppermint cc, rainbow cc, eggnog, yuletide tonic or a MBP.

For me ~200 runs, no MBP. But I suspect all the times I died accidently or died because of spike lags or disconnected, those times I would have gotten a MBP
That is an interesting theory. Does the chest spawn at the start of each level or does it spawn when you kill the boss? So I mean could the MPB actually be in the chest on one of the rare runs when you die because of a stupid lag spike or because you are too tired to see the screen because you have been farming for 24 hours trying to get it? That would be so --- perplexing!